|
APPENDIX
<br />pRq~ SCHOOL IMPACT FEES: Cw,re~ Hlu.-C~sORO Cm($CHOOts
<br />Orange County, Norfh Carolina
<br />Figure A9. Projected Public School Enrollments: Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools
<br /> ~Actunl** Projected
<br />. l., Liasr Yn' ,.. Z 2 ,: 3 < 4 `S 6'. 7 S '- 9 .'~: 10 - Ar}; Grrtitl
<br /> 2D06-07 2007-08 '-2008-09 2009-]0 2a1D-11 2011;12 1A12-13 2073-14 2014-]5 2DI5-16 2D16-17'. 1„}ir
<br />IIVROLLMENTS
<br />Chapel Full-Carrboro Schools***
<br />Elementary 4,980 5,142 5,273 5,389 5,541 5,654 5,739 5,825 5,912 5,998 6,086 2.2%
<br />Middle 2,592 2,622 2,686 2,772 2,833 2,902 2,989 3,108 3,185 3,226 3,267 2.6%
<br />~~ 3,520 3,599 3,648 3,659 3,704. 3,787 .3,884 3,948 4,068 4,196 4,305 22%
<br />Total 11,092 11,363 11,607 11,820 12,078 12,343 12,612 12,881 13,165 13,420 13,658 2.3%
<br />Netlnaease 127 271 244 213 258 265 269 269 284 255 238
<br />Totallncrease 2,566
<br />
<br />*Actual enrollment figures (SAPFOTAC Annual Report 2007; for 2006-07, actual as ofNooenther 15, 2006, date of membership).
<br />'* SAPFOTAC Annual Report 2007
<br />""Figures do not include CHCCS students attending fhe Hospital School
<br />Sources: Orange Counh,/; SAPFOTACAtInual Report 2007
<br />HOUSING UNIT PROJECTIONS
<br />Projections of housing unit growth were derived from the student enrollment projections as
<br />provided by Orange County Planning for Orange County Schools and from the SAPFOTAC for
<br />Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools. These projections reflect anticipated growth throughout the
<br />County including the Orange County side of the City of Mebane (within the Orange County
<br />School System) and Chapel Hill and Carrboro.
<br />Total housing units were derived for each school .system using total enrollment and student
<br />generation rates by system. Total units were then allocated by type of unit based on trends in
<br />new housing unit construction over the past six years. Distribution by type of unit for each
<br />district is shown in Figures 2 and 3 above and repeated below. The percentages reflect share of
<br />nezv units constructed as opposed to percent of total housing stock. (For example, the net
<br />increase in units is allocated to each housing unit category according to the percentages shown.)
<br />As shown in Figure A10, the County is anticipated to experience residential development
<br />growth in both school systems. Orange County Schools is projected to increase by 6,13$ units
<br />and CHCCS by x,737 units over the next ten years.
<br />_ A-12
<br />Tischler~is~
<br />~FIf~.Ecd. snilc tPlnenirgansu!tants
<br />
|