|
APPENDIX
<br />pRq~' SCHOOL IMPACT FEES: Cw~e~ Hut-CAaRSORO Crrv $CHOOtS
<br />Oronge County, North Caro-ina
<br />'This second system is known as the CAPS system or Certificate of Adequate Public Schools. T'he
<br />SAPFO CAPS system records new development approvals and determines whether capacity
<br />will be available in the prescribed year. If capacity is projected to be available then the
<br />development is allowed to proceed; if capacity is not projected to be available, the certificate is
<br />not issued until capacity is made available either by changes in enrollment or new capital
<br />improvements.
<br />This dual projection system works well because it helps synchronize capital needs and future
<br />growth. In other words, it monitors the historic trends and. adds and reflects new growth
<br />patterns that may match or exceed past growth. In established, constant growth school districts,
<br />the SAPFO C1P system usually adequately reflects future growth. However, in a school district
<br />where growth is occurring where it has not occurred before, such as the portion of the City of
<br />Mebane located in the Orange County School District, then using just the SAPFO C1P projection
<br />method underestimates future CIP needs since historical growth does not capture this new
<br />development trend.
<br />Therefore, in order to reflect more realistic capital planning needs for the Orange County School
<br />District, it is suggested that the historical projections of the SAPFO CIP system be layered with
<br />approved yet unbuilt development in the Mebane area (using the CAPS method). The CAPS
<br />method employs student generation rates by type of housing unit to estimate future student
<br />enrollment. This allows for a more realistic capital needs analysis to determine the need for
<br />additional capacity from new growth.
<br />As shown in Figure A7, current enrollment in Orange County Schools is 6,817. By the school
<br />year 2016-17, County Schools are projected to have a total enrollment of 8,764, an increase of
<br />1,947 students. This represents an average annual growth rate of approximately 2.9 percent.
<br />Yearly detail by school level is provided below.
<br />Figure A7. Projected Public School Enrollments: Orange County Schools
<br /> Victual" Projected '* - '
<br />
<br />13&se Yr.
<br />1 - 2
<br />' 3
<br />' 4
<br />v
<br />6'
<br />7
<br />A
<br />9 _
<br />10
<br />Ang Gru~lh
<br /> 2U06-07 2Qp7-OS 2DU13-09 2009-10 2U10-11 2011-12 2(ri2-13 2p13-14 201415 201516 201617: Rate
<br />ENROLLMENTS
<br />Orange County Schools
<br />Elementary 3,072 3,150 3,311 3,368 3,450 3,532 3,615 3,697 3,779 3,861 3,944 2.8%
<br />Middle 1,576 1,624 1,706 1,721 1,763 1,805 1,847 1,890 1,932 1,974 2,016 2.8%
<br />High 2,169 . 2,223 2,330 2,395 2,453 2,512 2,570 2,629 2,687 2,746 2,804 2.9%
<br />Total 6,817 6,997 7,347 7,484 7,667 7,850 8,033 8,215 8,398 8,581 8,764 2.9%
<br />Netlncrease 97 180 350 137 183 183 183 183 183 183 183
<br />Total Increase 1,947
<br />*Achral enrollment figures (SAPFOTAC Annua! Report 2007; for 2006-07, achml as of November 15, 2006, date of membership).
<br />**Orange County Planning
<br />Sources: Orange County; SAPFOTACAnnual Report 2007
<br /> A-10
<br />Tischler~i~
<br />Flsc~t.F.ca~vmlc T rlanning'unsWtants
<br />
|