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Section 5 - Land Use Scenarios <br />2035 LRTP and CTP <br />Land Use Scenarios <br />Land Use Scenarios Proposed <br />Background <br />The Durham - Chapel Hill - Carrboro Metropolitan Planning Organization (DCHC MPO) <br />prepared Socioeconomic Data (SE Data) based on the current land use plans and policies <br />of local jurisdictions for the year 2005 and 2035. The SE Data shows the location of <br />population and employment throughout the planning area. The Transportation Advisory <br />Committee (TAC — the DCHC MPO policy board) approved this SE Data for use with <br />the Triangle Regional Model (TRM) at their meeting on September 12, 2007. The TRM <br />uses the SE Data to generate trips and show how those trips will be accommodated on <br />highways, transit and other transportation modes, and then produces transportation <br />system performance data, such as the level of congestion and vehicle miles traveled, for <br />the Long Range Transportation Plan (LRTP) and Comprehensive Transportation Plan <br />(CTP). <br />The question is often asked during the development process — How might changes in land <br />use plans or policies affect the design and performance of future transportation system? <br />And, how might local jurisdictions change their land use plans and policies to realize a <br />desired outcome in the future transportation system? <br />The DCHC MPO has created land use scenarios as part of the 2035 LRTP and CTP <br />development process to evaluate the impacts that land use changes might have on the <br />transportation system performance data of the TRM (travel demand model). That is, the <br />MPO has developed alternative land use assumptions that change the SE Data that was <br />approved in September 2007. The SE Data approved in September 2007 is often referred <br />to as the Baseline SE data. <br />Contents of this Document <br />This presentation of the land use scenarios is detailed and lengthy. Therefore, therefore it <br />will help the reader to know the principal contents of this document: <br />• Summaa of Land Use Scenarios -- The concept of the proposed land use <br />scenarios are summarized in the table on page 2. Begins on page 2. <br />• Scenario Review — Tables and maps show how the future population and <br />employment would change to achieve each Scenario. Tables begin on page <br />and maps begin on page 7. <br />5-1 <br />