Agenda - 09-16-2008 - 6e - Laserfiche WebLink

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Section 5 - Land Use Scenarios year, 2035, as the Baseline Scenarios does, but instead on an end state. It assumes that the entire scope of the MVO is developed. Scenario 3 -- Constrained Growth The Constrained Growth Scenario is the first of three that asks the question, "What might the future projections of employment and housing, and ultimately travel demand, be if the MPO was to alter its land use and development policies ?" This scenario assumes that long range land use plans and development regulations would be consciously changed to scale down the amount of new development allowed each year. It also assumes that mechanisms be established to prevent growth beyond a certain annual target level. Scenario Objective: Local governments i n planning and policy actions to constrain growth in housing and employment by 2035 of approximately Scenario, and up to 35 percent in Chatham County. A. Land Use Planning the MPO should employ conscious certain locations, resulting in forecast 10 percent less than for the Baseline 1. Develop a systematic and defensible method for determining the maximum amount of development that the local jurisdiction wants to accommodate each year and the basis for that determination. 2. Change local urban growth area boundaries to limit the extent of urban and suburban development. 3. Restrict the extension of sewer and water utilities. B. Land Use Regulation Develop a systematic and defensible method of evaluating and selecting highly desirable development projects that will be considered for legislative approval each year. Scenario 4 -- Travel Corridors The Travel Corridors Scenario speculates about what might be the effect on housing, employment, and travel demand from a conscious effort to achieve a different land use pattern in the MPO 'area. The focus in this scenario is on new development along major arterial roadways. This approach assumes the same amount of employment and housing growth, but assigns it to locations different than in the Baseline Scenario. Scenario Objective: Local governments in the MPO should employ conscious planning and policy actions to focus a significant portion of future growth into transit- oriented corridors, including Downtown Durham. Ensure that new development is located and designed in an appropriate manner and that appropriate regional and local transit service are available. Develop effective strategies to encourage new development in Corridor areas and discourage new development elsewhere. 5-22