APPENDIX
<br />DRAFT SCHOOL IMPACT FEES: Ow,r~Ge CoutJrr SCHOOIS
<br />Orange County, Norfh Carolina
<br />Figure A9. Projected Public School Enrollments: Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools
<br /> Actunl Projected''
<br /> fG:l3asrYn-.-.. I 2 -. 3 ':4 IS G. 7: S 9 IO ~` Ae~gGru~th
<br /> 2006-07 2007-08__2008-09_
<br />- - 2009-IU
<br />-` 2010-11 2011-72 201?-13 20YI3-14 2014-IS
<br />_,_. 2015-16. 2016-17 _
<br />~ ~ Rate `_
<br />...-
<br />13VROLI.MEN'fS
<br />Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools***
<br />Elementary 4,980 5,142 5,273 5,389 5,541 5,654 5,739 5,825 5,912 5,998 6,066 22%
<br />Middle 2,592 2,622 2,686 2,772 2,833 2,902 2,989 3,108 3,185 3,226 3,267 2.6%
<br />High 3,520 3,599 3,648 3,659 3,704 3,787 3,884 3,948 4,068 4,196 4,305 22%
<br />Total 11,092 11,363 11,607 11,820 12,078 12,343 12,612 12,881 13,165 13,420 13,658 2.3%
<br />NetSncrease 127 271 244 213 258 265 269 269 284 255 238
<br />Totatlncrease 2.5~
<br />* Actual enrollnsent figures (SAPFOTAC Annual Report 2007; for 2006-07, actual as of November 15, 2006, date of membership).
<br />** SAPFOTAC Annual Report 2007
<br />*** Figures do not include CHCCS students attending the Hospital School
<br />Sources: Orange County; SAPFOTAC.9tmual Report 2007
<br />HOUSING UNIT PROJECTIONS
<br />Projections of housing unit growth were derived from the student enrollment projections as
<br />provided by Orange County Planning for Orange County Schools and from the SAPFOTAC for
<br />Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools. These projections reflect anticipated growth throughout the
<br />County including the Orange County side of the City of Mebane (within the Orange County
<br />School System) and Chapel Hill and Carrboro.
<br />Total housing units were derived for each school system using total enrollment and student
<br />generation rates by system. Total units were then allocated by type of unit based on trends in
<br />new housing unit construction over the past six years. Distribution by type of unit for each
<br />district is shown in Figures 2 and 3 above and repeated below. The percentages reflect share of
<br />new units constructed as opposed to percent of total housing stock. (For example, the net
<br />increase in units is allocated to each housing unit category according to the percentages shown.)
<br />As shown in Figure A10, the County is anticipated to experience residential development
<br />growth in both school systems. Orange County Schools is projected to increase by 6,138 units
<br />and CHCCS by 7,737 units over the next ten years.
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