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APPENDIX
<br />p~~ SCHOOL IMPACT FEES: Ctv~e~ Hiu-Cal~soeo Cmr $CHOOts
<br />Orange County, North Carolina
<br />Figure A9. Projected Public School Enrollments: Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools
<br />dual" Pro)edcd'*
<br />Base Yr. Z 2 4 5 6 7 ,' 8 9 ZO 3t g C-rurt1~
<br />2006-07 2007-08 _2008-0~+ ZUIi a l0 2010_71 2071-12 2012-73 201314 2014-75 2D15-16~ 2016-17 Rate __
<br />IIVROLLHIENTS
<br />Chapel Hill-Cartboro Schools***
<br />Elementary 4,980 5,142 5,273 5,389 5,541 5,654 5,739 5,825 5,912 5,998
<br />Middle 2,592 2,672 2,686 2,772 2,833 2,902 2,989 3,108 3,185 3,226
<br />~~ 3,520 3,599 3,648 3,659 3,704. 3,787 .3,884 3,948 4,068 4,196
<br />Total 11,092 11,363 11,607 11,820 12,078 12,343 12,612 12,881 13,165 13,420
<br />Neflncrease 127 271 244 213 258 265 269 269 284 255
<br />Totallncrease
<br />'Actual enrotlntent figures (SAPFOTAC Annual Report 2007; for 2006-07, actual as of Noaen:ber 15, 2006, date of n:entbership).
<br />*' SAPFOTAC Annual Repart 2007
<br />*"Fgures do not Include CHCCS students attending the Hospital School
<br />Sources: Orange County; SAPFOTAC Annual Report 2007
<br />HOUSING UNIT PROJECTIONS
<br />6,086 22%
<br />3,267 2.6%
<br />4,305 22%
<br />.3.658 23%
<br />2,566
<br />Projections of housing unit growth were derived from the student enrollment projections as
<br />provided by Orange County Planning for Orange County Schools and from the SAPFOTAC for
<br />Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools. These projections reflect anticipated growth throughout the
<br />County including the Orange County side of the City of Mebane (within the Orange County
<br />School System) and Chapel Hill and Carrboro.
<br />Total housing units were derived for each school .system using total enrollment and student
<br />generation rates by system. Total units were then allocated by type of unit based on trends in
<br />new housing unit construction over the past six years. Distribution by type of unit for each
<br />district is shown in Figures 2 and 3 above and repeated below. The percentages reflect share of
<br />new units constructed as opposed to percent of total housing stock. (For example, the net
<br />increase in units is allocated to each housing unit category according to the percentages shown.)
<br />As shown in Figure A10, the County is anticipated to experience residential development
<br />growth in both school systems. Orange County Schools is projected to increase by 6,138 units
<br />and CHCCS by 7,737 units over the next ten years.
<br />A-12
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