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APPENDIX <br />pRq~ SCHOOL IMPACT FEES: Ctwee~ Hiu.-C~sORO CttY SCHOOLS <br />Orange County, North Carolino <br />PUBLIC SCHOOL STUDENT ENROLLMENT TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS <br />This section provides a summary of historical enrollment trends and projected enrollment <br />growth for each school district. <br />ORANGE COUNTY SCHOOLS <br />Historical Enrollment <br />Since the 2000-01 school year, enrollment in Orange County Schools has increased by a total of <br />563 students with some fluctuation from yeaz to year.. Current total enrollment for the 2006-07 <br />school year is 6,817. Yearly data for the past 6 years as well as the current actual enrollment are <br />shown below in Figure A6 for Orange County Schools. <br />Figure A6. Historical Public School Enrollments: Orange County Schools <br /> Actual* <br /> Base Yr. <br /> 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04' 2002-05 2005-06 200Fr07 <br />ENROLLMENTS <br />Orange County Schools <br />Elementary 3,078 2,893 2,901 2;945 3,016 3,006 3,072 <br />Middle 1,504 1,527 1,631 1,671 1,593 1,590 1,576 <br />ugh 1,672 1,753 1,828 1,887 2,057, 2,124 2,169 <br />Total 6,254 6,173 6,360 6,503 6,666 6,720 6,817 <br />Netlncrease -81 187 143 163 54 97 <br />* Actual enrollment figures (SAPFOTAC Annual Report 2007; for 2006-07, actual as of Naoember 15, 2006, date of membership <br />Student Enrollment Projections8 <br />Enrollment projections for Orange County Schools are based on historical actual student growth <br />with an additional layer to account for approved yet undeveloped housing in the City of <br />Mebane within the Orange County School District. This is an additional level of analysis than is <br />currently provided as part of the County's current Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance <br />(SAPFO). The SAPFO system projects enrollment for two separate functions or activities. One is <br />capital improvement planning (C]P) and the other is growth or development management. -One <br />projection methodology is used in capital planning and a separate projection system is used to <br />manage the impacts of new unbuilt development. <br />s Source: Orange County Planning. <br />A-9 <br />Tisch)@C~1~: <br />FIsW..Fmivndc A. @Ittming femut6nts <br />