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updated 10/11/02 to reflect revised OC Planning Projections
<br /> Preliminary OCS Student Projections (1)
<br /> Elementary LOW
<br /> School Year 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
<br /> Actual 1 3,0781 2,8931 2,862
<br /> Tischler 2,873 2,885 2,896 2,908 2,919 2,931 2,942 2,954 2,965 2,976
<br /> OC Planning 2,939 3,020 3,104 3,177 3,252 3,330 3,395 3,461 3,529 3,598
<br /> 10 Year Growth 2,863 2,887 2,869 2,919 2,950 2,979 3,009 3,039 3,069 3,100
<br /> 5 Year Growth 2,840 1 2,842 1 2,816 2,855 2,884 2,913 2,942 2,971 3,001 3,031
<br /> 3 Year Growth 2,832 2,823 2,780 2,807 2,825 2,854 2,882 2,911 2,940 2,969
<br /> Average 11 2,869 2,891 2,893 2,933 2,966 3,001 3,034 3,067 3,101 3,135
<br /> Capacity-100%Level of Servi2l 3,820 3,820 3,820 3,820 3,820 3,820 3,820 3,820 3,820 3,820 3,820 3,820 3,820
<br /> 105%Level of Service 4,011 4,011 4,011 4,011 4,011 4,011 4,011 4,011 4,011 4,011 4,011 4,011 4,011
<br /> Actual-%Level of Service 80.6%1 75.70, 74.9%
<br /> Average-%Level of Service 75.1%1 75.7%1 75.7%1 76.8% 7706% 78.6%1 %1 81.2% 82.1
<br /> Middle
<br /> School Year 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
<br /> Actual 1,504 1,527 1,629 in I
<br /> Tischler 1,701 1,772 1,844 1,916 1,987 2,059 2,131 2,202 2,274 2,346
<br /> OC Planning 1,632 1,663 1,695 1,742 1,790 1,840 1,892 1,945 2,000 2,056
<br /> 10 Year Growth 1,638 1,548 1,513 1,480 1,487 1,455 1,490 1,507 1,522 1,537
<br /> 5 Year Growth 1,615 1,503 1,438 1,393 1,381 1,342 1,365 1,380 1,393 1,407
<br /> 3 Year Growth 1,636 1,543 1,488 1,447 1 1,433 1 1,3761 1,389 1,393 1,407 1,421
<br /> Average 1,644 1,606 1,596 1,5961 1,6161 1,6141 1,653 1,685 1,719 1,753
<br /> Capacity-100%Level of Service 1,4661 1,4661 1,4661 1,466 1 1,466 2,1 F561 2,166 1 2,166 1 2,166 1 2,166 2,166 2,166 1 2,166
<br /> 107%Level of Service 1,5691 1,5691 1,5691 1,569 1 1,569 1 ,2-3181 2,318 1 2,318 1 2,318 2,318 1 2,3181 2,318 1 2,318
<br /> Actual-%Level of Service 102.6%1 104.2%1 111.1%
<br /> Average-%Level of Service m %1 73.7% __73.7%1 74.6%1 74.5%1 76.3%1 77.8%1 79.4%1 81.0%
<br /> middle school#3 opens in fall 2005
<br /> High with 700 additional seats
<br /> School Year 2000-01 2001-0 2 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
<br /> Actual 1,672 1,753 1,866
<br /> Tischler 1,941 2,015 2,090 2,165 2,239 2,314 2,388 2,463 2,538 2,612
<br /> OC Planning 1,931 1,969 2,008 2,048 2,090 2,132 2,191 2,251 2,313 2,377
<br /> 10 Year Growth 1,879 1,941 1,957 1,919 1,893 1,876 1,784 1,776 1,793 1,777
<br /> 5 Year Growth 1,866 1,911 1,909 1,842 1,796 1,748 1,639 1,612 1,611 1,589
<br /> 3 Year Growth 1,920 2,024 2,061 2,020 1,995 1,958 1,844 1,817 1,798 1,758
<br /> Average 1,907 1,972 1 2,0051 1,999 2,003 2,006 1,969 1,984 2,011 2,023
<br /> Capacity-100%Level of Servi 1,518 1,518 2,518 2,518 2,518 2,518 2,518 2,518 2,518 2,518 2,518 2,518 2,518
<br /> 110%Level of Service 1,670 1,670 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770
<br /> Actual-%Level of Service 110.1% 74.1%
<br /> Average-%Level of Service 75.8% 78.3% 79.6% 79.4% 79.5% 79.7%1 78.2% 78.8% 79.8% 80.3%
<br /> cedar ridge high opens
<br /> r)
<br /> indicates first year that district surpasses the current Schools APFO recommended Level of Service S
<br /> indicates year that highest level of service is reached before new seats are available
<br /> 5
<br /> It is important to note that this reflects the 20th day of membership for school year ending 2003 and does not reflect the date of membership as outlined in by the Schools
<br /> Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance(which is November 15,2002). Staff will be working to update membership numbers at that time and will bring forward a set of"official"
<br /> membership numbers as of November 15,2002. 1
<br /> (2) The Tischler Model provides for the"Linear Method"of projections for both CHCCS and OCS. Original projections used in prior years projection models included the"Linear lj,�
<br /> Extrapolation Method"for CHCCS. t,
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