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41 <br /> Slide#22 <br /> OCS: Total District ADM : 2015 -16 to 2035-36 <br /> OCS: K-12 ADM Development Adjusted Forecast <br /> 6411 <br /> �zz <br /> AW9 <br /> s,ono <br /> 4,000 <br /> 2,000 <br /> 0 <br /> 2016 2018 MID 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 <br /> Source:OCS:Damograoho AnWo.Advisors(OAA)F-f <br /> VNCCAROLINA carolinademography.cpc.unc.edu C A R O L I N A <br /> POP ULATION CENTER DEMOGRAPHY <br /> Source:Principal's Monthly Report(PMR 2)2016-2026;DAA calculations <br /> For Orange County Schools,Nathan Dollar said the district is projected to decline to 6,129 students <br /> by 2035-36, having lost 649 students since 2019-20. <br /> Slide#23 <br /> Number of births in OCS have increased, but are forecast to <br /> begin declining <br /> OCS Births:Actual and Projections(2016-2036) <br /> 1.00 D <br /> 750 <br /> r y y10—•�•� r 598 —. r�•� 586 <br /> 500 505 <br /> 'In <br /> 250 <br /> 0 <br /> 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 <br /> Year <br /> Saume:NC Birth Fecads,NC Stale Center for Hearth Sfafislics,Demographic An®tyslics Advisors fDAA)Forecast <br /> CAROLINA carol inademography.cpc.unc.edu C A R O L I N A <br /> Q` VC POPULATION CENTER DEMOGRAPHY <br /> Source:NC Birth Records,NC State Center for Health Statistics,DAA forecast <br /> Nathan Dollar explained that while births had increased recently in Orange County, they were <br /> forecast to begin declining toward the end of the decade, which could accelerate if fewer working-aged <br /> people moved in. <br />