Orange County NC Website
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41 <br /> 1 Slide#22 <br /> OCS: Total District ADM: 2015 -16 to 2035-36 <br /> OCS: K-12 ADM Development Adjusted Forecast <br /> 7,513 6477 <br /> 722 <br /> ,6r129 <br /> 6,000 <br /> 4,000 <br /> 2,000 <br /> 0 <br /> 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 <br /> Source:OCS;DemographicAnalylicsAdvisois(DAA)Forecast <br /> II T �T� CAROLINA carolinademography.cpc.unc.edu CAROLINA <br /> lJl V POPULATION CENTER DEMOGRAPHY <br /> 2 Source:Principal's Monthly Report(PMR 2)2016-2026;DAA calculations <br /> 3 For Orange County Schools, Nathan Dollar said the district is projected to decline to 6,129 <br /> 4 students by 2035-36, having lost 649 students since 2019-20. <br /> 5 <br /> 6 Slide#23 <br /> Number of births in OCS have increased, but are forecast to <br /> begin declining <br /> OCS Births:Actual and Projections(2016-2036) <br /> 1.000 <br /> 750 <br /> �598 • r����580 <br /> r 500 505 <br /> 'ln <br /> 250 <br /> 0 <br /> 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 <br /> Year <br /> Soerce:NC Birth Records,NC State Center/or Health Statistics,Demographic Analystics Advisors(DAA)Forecast <br /> CAROLINA carolinademography.cpc.unc.edu CAROLINA <br /> GVVC POPULATION CENTER DEM0G P H Y <br /> 7 Source:NC Birth Records,NC State Center for Health Statistics,DAA forecast <br /> 8 Nathan Dollar explained that while births had increased recently in Orange County, they were <br /> 9 forecast to begin declining toward the end of the decade, which could accelerate if fewer working-aged <br /> 10 people moved in. <br /> 11 Slide#24 <br />