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Agenda 04-07-2026; 7-a - Presentation of School Enrollment Forecast
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Agenda 04-07-2026; 7-a - Presentation of School Enrollment Forecast
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4/2/2026 3:05:41 PM
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BOCC
Date
4/7/2026
Meeting Type
Business
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Agenda
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7-a
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Demographic Study I Student Membership Forecast 50 <br /> OCS: District Middle School ADM: 2015-16 to 2035-36 <br /> 4,000 <br /> 3,000 <br /> 2,000 <br /> 1,733 <br /> 1,596 <br /> 1,479 <br /> 1,401 <br /> 1,000 <br /> 0 <br /> 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 <br /> Source:Principal's Monthly Report(PMR 2)2016-2026;Demographic Analytics Advisors(DAA)Forecast <br /> Similar to the baseline forecast, high school ADM in OCS district shows a steady downward trend even after adjusting <br /> for student yields . Although a brief uptick in ADM is observed in 2022-23 (-2500), it falls to about 2,288 in 2025-26 <br /> and is projected to decline further to roughly 2,047 by 2035-36. This represents a loss of about 241 students from <br /> 2025-26 to 2035-36 which is the highest among all grade levels. <br /> CAR 0 L I N A - T I C CAROLINA _ Demographic 47 <br /> D E M O G R P H Y 0 l.J 1 �l POPULATION CENTER Analytics Advisors <br /> a <br />
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