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2 <br /> challenges for the long-term projection. The impact of federal policies on international migration <br /> and school enrollment will need to be followed in subsequent enrollment forecasts. <br /> The ten-year enrollment projection estimates that enrollment in the CHCCS district will decline by <br /> 1,070 students, or 10% and OCS will decline by 593 students, or 9%. The major challenges <br /> identified for CHCCS is declining birthrate in the district and declining in-migration post-Covid. <br /> The major challenges identified for OCS are declining market share and possible out-migration <br /> from birth to kindergarten, as well as a lack of new development to offset these decreases. <br /> FINANCIAL IMPACT: There is no immediate impact of the enrollment projections. Changes in <br /> school district enrollment will have long term impacts on the county's operating and capital <br /> budgets. <br /> ALIGNMENT WITH STRATEGIC PLAN: This item supports: <br /> • GOAL 5: PUBLIC EDUCATION/LEARNING COMMUNITY <br /> OBJECTIVE 4. Improve learning environments by investing in facilities over a 10- <br /> year period that address repair, renovation, and educational adequacy needs. <br /> OBJECTIVE 5. Invest in and implement a plan that supports schools operational <br /> and facility funding needs. <br /> RECOMMENDATION(S): The Manager recommends the Board receive the presentation and <br /> report from UNC Demography and provide any comments and questions. <br />