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Agenda 04-07-2026; 7-a - Presentation of School Enrollment Forecast
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Agenda 04-07-2026; 7-a - Presentation of School Enrollment Forecast
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4/2/2026 3:05:41 PM
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4/7/2026
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Business
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Agenda
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7-a
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Agenda for April 7, 2026 BOCC Meeting
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Demographic Study I Student Membership Forecast 6 <br /> North Carolina Estimates and Forecast <br /> 2000 to 2060 <br /> 15,000,000 <br /> 10,000,000 ' • ' • <br /> 5,000,000 <br /> 0 <br /> 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 <br /> Source:OSBM Population Projections, 2025 <br /> While the population will likely continue to grow, the age distribution of this growth is very important for understanding <br /> the impacts on schools throughout the state. As we can see below, while the population is growing, the population <br /> aged 0-17 grows at a much slower rate than the population overall. In fact, from 2010 through 2025, the population <br /> aged 0-17 grew from 2.28 million to just 2.32 million, or just 1.6%. Forecast growth from 2025 to 2035 brings the 0-17 <br /> population up to 2.39 million, or just below 3% for those 10 years. That is substantially lower than population growth <br /> overall and helps us to understand the population dynamics occurring throughout the state that impact school <br /> enrollments. <br /> North Carolina Estimates and Forecast: Population by Age <br /> 2000 to 2060 <br /> 15,000,000 <br /> 10,000,000 <br /> 5,000,000 <br /> PON <br /> 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 <br /> 65&Over ■ 35 to 44 18 to 24 ■ under 5 Years <br /> ■ 45 to 64 ■ 25 to 34 5 to 17 <br /> Source:OSBM Population Projections, 2025 <br /> C A R O L I N A ��T T� CAROLINA _ Demographic 3 <br /> D E M O G R P H Y 0 l.J 1 �l POPULATION CENTER Analytics Advisors <br /> a <br />
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