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Demographic Study I Student Membership Forecast 53 <br /> Development Impact: Efland Cheeks Elementary <br /> Development Total Units Units Already Completed First Year Occupancy Total Student Add <br /> Oakwood Division 409 150 2026 6 <br /> Tupelo North 207 0 2027 3 <br /> Meadowstone 147 0 2027 3 <br /> NACC Subdivision 106 0 2027 1 <br /> Saddle Club Subdivision 110 0 2028 1 <br /> Bowman Road Townhomes 89 0 2028 1 <br /> Mebane Village Townes 69 0 2027 1 <br /> Oak Grove Trails 51 51 2026 0 <br /> Tupelo Junction 123 123 2025 0 <br /> Tota 1 1,311 324 — 16 <br /> Source: Demographic Analytics Advisors(DAA), OCS,Orange County, Hillsborough and Mebane municipalities <br /> Next we consider the 5-year and 10-year student yield from residential and mixed-use developments in the pipeline. <br /> Planned projects are estimated to add about 67 students by 2030-31 and 71 students by 2035-36. The largest gains <br /> are at Cedar Ridge High (18-19 students), Efland Cheeks Elementary (15 students), and New Hope Elementary (8-9 <br /> students),with smaller additions at A L Stanback Middle and Gravelly Hill Middle. While these developments do generate <br /> additional student yield and adjust the baseline ADM forecast upwards, their cumulative impact is small relative to <br /> districtwide ADM and insufficient to reverse the overall projected declines in ADM. <br /> CAR 0 L I N A ---T CAROLINA � Demographic 50 <br /> DEMOGR PHY lJJNC <br /> POPULATION CENTER Analytics Advisors <br />