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Agenda 04-07-2026; 7-a - Presentation of School Enrollment Forecast
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Agenda 04-07-2026; 7-a - Presentation of School Enrollment Forecast
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4/2/2026 3:05:41 PM
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4/7/2026
Meeting Type
Business
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Agenda
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7-a
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Agenda for April 7, 2026 BOCC Meeting
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Demographic Study I Student Membership Forecast 45 <br /> Number of Units by Development <br /> Total Units Complete Occupancy <br /> Project Name Project Status Units (Estimate) Start Total-Display <br /> Meadowstone Under 147 0 2027 147 <br /> Construction <br /> Oakwood Division Under 409 150 2026 409 <br /> Construction <br /> Tupelo Junction Under 123 123 2025 123 <br /> Construction <br /> Auman Village (Formerly East Village at Approved 76 0 2028 76 <br /> Meadowlands) <br /> Collins Ridge Phase 1** Approved 631 0 2026 631 <br /> Edenview Acres Approved 38 0 2028 38 <br /> Stonewall Approved 18 0 2027 18 <br /> Tupelo North Approved 207 0 2027 207 <br /> Waterstone South Approved 655 0 2029 655 <br /> Williams Glen Approved 17 15 2026 17 <br /> Bowman Road Townhomes Prelim Plan 89 0 2028 89 <br /> Approved <br /> Mebane Village Townes Prelim Plan 69 0 2027 69 <br /> Approved <br /> NACC Subdivision Prelim Plan 106 0 2027 106 <br /> Approved <br /> Oak Grove Trails Prelim Plan 51 51 2026 51 <br /> Approved <br /> Saddle Club Subdivision Prelim Plan 110 0 2028 110 <br /> Approved <br /> Persimmon at Cates Creek/Moren Tract Under Review 346 0 2028 346 <br /> Source. OCS;Orange County, Hillsborough and Mebane Municipalities <br /> Note:Units complete for Collins Ridge Phase 1 is 0 as reliable estimates of completed units were unavailable. <br /> To derive student yield from proposed projects, we first locate each development on Orange County parcel data and <br /> allocate the development's units to individual parcels when projects span multiple parcels. We then map those parcels <br /> to school attendance zones to determine how many units would potentially contribute students to each elementary, <br /> middle, and high school. <br /> CAR 0 L I N A ---T CAROLINA � Demographic 42 <br /> DEMOGR PHY lJJNC <br /> POPULATION CENTER Analytics Advisors <br />
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