Orange County NC Website
Browse       Search
Demographic Study I Student Membership Forecast 31 <br /> Occupied units by forecast year are converted to student yield using tract-level age-group occupancy rates (the share <br /> of households with children in each age band). The percentage of households with children ages 5-10 years is applied <br /> to estimate elementary students from the new development units, ages 11-13 years for middle school, and ages 14-17 <br /> years for high school. Student estimates are assigned to schools by attendance zone and summed across projects to <br /> produce annual, school-level student yields. Since the GPR-based baseline model already incorporates some <br /> development-related enrollment increases, we adjust the student yields to ensure we are not double-counting student <br /> yields from new developments. A table showing the projected five-year and ten-year student yield from new <br /> developments for all CHCCS schools is provided below. <br /> CHCCS: 5-Yr and 10-Yr Student Yield from Developments by Schools <br /> 2030-31 and 2035-36 <br /> School Name 2031 2036 <br /> Carrboro Elementary 0 0 <br /> Carrboro High 17 28 <br /> Chapel Hill High 26 50 <br /> Culbreth Middle 13 25 <br /> East Chapel Hill High 67 114 <br /> Ephesus Elementary 32 49 <br /> Estes Hills Elementary 37 58 <br /> FPG Elementary 0 0 <br /> Glenwood Elementary 5 12 <br /> McDougle Elementary 0 0 <br /> McDougle Middle 5 7 <br /> Morris Grove Elementary 19 42 <br /> Northside Elementary 5 11 <br /> Phillips Middle 43 62 <br /> Phoenix Academy High 0 0 <br /> Rashkis Elementary 7 16 <br /> Scroggs Elementary 19 33 <br /> Seawell Elementary 12 18 <br /> Smith Middle 17 41 <br /> Total 324 566 <br /> Source:Chapel Hill-Corrboro municipalities;Demographic Anolytics Advisors(DAA)Forecast <br /> Baseline Forecast <br /> CAR 0 L I N A �I T CAROLINA Demographic 28 <br /> DEMOGR PHY lJJNC <br /> POPULATION CENTER � Analytics Advisors <br />