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Demographic Study I Student Membership Forecast 26 <br /> CHCCS ADM Trends by School:2015-16 to 2025-26 <br /> School Name 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 <br /> Carrboro Elementary 502 498 488 489 513 476 493 483 488 483 462 <br /> Ephesus Elementary 435 401 396 442 387 346 340 354 354 357 343 <br /> Estes Hills Elementary 482 496 490 472 430 387 350 331 340 325 324 <br /> FPG Elementary 532 581 600 613 588 563 507 510 501 510 499 <br /> Glenwood Elementary 449 481 508 489 456 440 421 429 409 387 394 <br /> McDougle Elementary 504 512 526 543 551 496 459 474 465 481 469 <br /> Morris Grove Elementary 557 544 539 553 543 489 459 422 396 379 371 <br /> Northside Elementary 485 486 454 444 452 404 379 371 365 384 335 <br /> Rashkis Elementary 521 501 471 454 485 449 416 419 423 435 367 <br /> Scroggs Elementary 509 506 493 471 423 407 392 380 384 377 366 <br /> Seawell Elementary 525 549 543 502 521 469 500 468 427 392 364 <br /> Culbreth Middle 712 712 692 733 798 734 664 656 667 633 575 <br /> McDougle Middle 692 672 656 681 686 748 755 753 705 660 698 <br /> Phillips Middle 638 652 673 655 742 696 663 610 578 599 615 <br /> Smith Middle 796 797 817 861 806 734 717 769 749 763 691 <br /> Carrboro High 813 821 853 868 863 847 838 862 876 890 862 <br /> Chapel Hill High 1,458 1,516 1,560 1,521 1,517 1,525 1,503 1,593 1,637 1,601 1,594 <br /> East Chapel Hill High 1,361 1,372 1,464 1,487 1,516 1,537 1,479 1,443 1,411 1,418 1,404 <br /> Phoenix Academy High 33 29 33 27 26 17 76 25 25 25 25 <br /> Total 12,004 12,126 12,256 12,305 12,303 11,764 11,411 11,352 11,200 11,099 10,758 <br /> Source:CHCCS <br /> Market Share Trends <br /> Between 2020-21 and 2024-25 the CHCCS market share-the percentage of K-12 enrollments occurring at CHCCS- <br /> has increased by 7 percentage points, which is also a factor of post-COVID rebound. However, the new law <br /> expanding private school vouchers (Opportunity Scholarship Program) could put private school enrollments on a <br /> higher growth trajectory. If the increased utilization of private school options is accompanied by growth in charter <br /> schools, CHCCS market share may decline. The magnitude of private school enrollments will remain unknown till the <br /> CAR 0 L I N A UP TJNC CAROLINA _ Demographic 23 <br /> DEMOGR PHY � lPOPULATION CENTER Analytics Advisors <br /> a <br />