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Agenda 04-07-2026; 7-a - Presentation of School Enrollment Forecast
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Agenda 04-07-2026; 7-a - Presentation of School Enrollment Forecast
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4/2/2026 3:05:41 PM
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4/7/2026
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Business
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Agenda
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7-a
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Agenda for April 7, 2026 BOCC Meeting
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Demographic Study I Student Membership Forecast 24 <br /> Current ADM Trends <br /> Next, we review the historical Average Daily Membership (ADM) trends, which reveal that the district has experienced <br /> a substantial decline in student membership over the past decade. Beginning at 12,004 in 2015-16 (based on PMR <br /> M2)ADM saw a modest increase to a peak of 12,303 in 2020. However, a consistent decline has followed this peak, <br /> with ADM falling to 10,758 in the current school year. This represents a loss of approximately 1,500 students since <br /> 2020, indicating that CHCCS student membership has not yet rebounded to its pre-pandemic levels. <br /> CHCCS: K-12 ADM Historical Trend <br /> 12,500 12,004 12,303 <br /> 10,158 <br /> 10,000 <br /> 7,500 <br /> 5,000 <br /> 2,500 <br /> 0 <br /> 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 <br /> Source:CHCCS <br /> When examining ADM trends by grade level, a significant loss in student membership is observed in the Elementary <br /> Schools. Student membership in Elementary Schools declined from 5,501 students in 2015-16 to 4,294 students in the <br /> current school year, representing a loss of approximately 1,207 students over the decade. While Middle and High <br /> Schools have followed this downward trend, the magnitude of their declines has been less severe. Middle Schools <br /> reported a loss of 259 students, and High Schools saw a reduction of 220 students in their membership over the same <br /> ten-year period. <br /> CAR 0 L I N A ��T T� CAROLINA _ Demographic 21 <br /> D E M O G R P H Y 0 l.J 1 �l POPULATION CENTER Analytics Advisors <br /> a <br />
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