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Agenda 04-07-2026; 7-a - Presentation of School Enrollment Forecast
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Agenda 04-07-2026; 7-a - Presentation of School Enrollment Forecast
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4/2/2026 3:05:41 PM
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BOCC
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4/7/2026
Meeting Type
Business
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Agenda
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7-a
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Agenda for April 7, 2026 BOCC Meeting
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Demographic Study I Student Membership Forecast 23 <br /> CHCCS:Kindergarten-to-Birth Ratio <br /> 1 ,000 <br /> 1.18 1.24 1.31 1.24 1.21 <br /> 750 1.06 1.18 <br /> 1.02 1.21 <br /> 1.02 1.08 <br /> 500 <br /> 250 <br /> 0 <br /> 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 <br /> ■ Babies born 5 years earlier Kindergarten <br /> Source:Principal's Monthly Report(PMR 2)2016-2026;NC Birth Records,NC State Center for Health Statistics <br /> Migration <br /> As depicted in the chart below, the ELL headcount reported by CHCCS saw a decline to 1,413 in the current school <br /> year, down from 1,621 in the previous school year. This marks the first observed post-pandemic decrease in ELL <br /> headcounts, a trend that may reflect anticipated impacts from changes in federal immigration policy. While <br /> international migration sharply decreased during the pandemic due to travel restrictions and limited job availability, it <br /> subsequently rebounded. <br /> Headcount of English Language Learners: 2016-17 through 2025-26 <br /> 1,621 <br /> 1,415 1,454 1,496 1,462 1,413 <br /> 1,314 1,277 1,311 1,349 <br /> 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 <br /> Data Source:Headcount of Limited English Proficient Students, <br /> Report to the North Carolina General Assembly,NC DPI <br /> C A R O L I N A �I T CAROLINA i Demographic 20 <br /> DEMOGR PHY lJJNC <br /> POPULATION CENTER Analytics Advisors <br />
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