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Attachment II.B.2—Student Membership Projection Models Performance Analysis(2023-24) <br /> 4(�Iage 3 of 4) <br /> Section H <br /> Chapel Hill-Carrboro City School District <br /> School Membership 2023-2024 School Year (November 15, 2023) <br /> 11/15/22 2023 Report 11/15/23 <br /> Actual Projection for Actual Change between actual <br /> 2022-23 2023-24 2023-24 Nov 2022 - Nov 2023 <br /> Elementary 4657 4575 -82 <br /> Model Projection is <br /> T 4624 H49 <br /> OCP 4588 H13 <br /> 10C 4582 H7 <br /> 5C 4561 L14 <br /> 3C 4550 L25 <br /> Average 4581 H6 <br /> 11/15/22 11/15/23 <br /> Middle 2798 2716 -82 <br /> Model Projection is <br /> T 2778 H62 <br /> OCP 2742 H26 <br /> 10C 2685 L31 <br /> 5C 2683 L33 <br /> 3C 2660 L56 <br /> Average 2710 1 1-6 <br /> 11/15/22 11/15/23 <br /> High 3950 3974 + 24 <br /> Model Projection is <br /> T 3922 L52 <br /> OCP 3860 L114 <br /> 10C 3923 L51 <br /> 5C 3938 L36 <br /> 3C 3925 L49 <br /> Average 3914 L60 <br /> Totals 11/15/22 11/15/23 <br /> Elementary 4657 4575 <br /> Middle 2798 2716 <br /> High 3950 3974 <br /> Total 11,405 11,265 - 140 <br /> Model Projection is <br /> T 11,324 H59 <br /> OCP 11,190 L75 <br /> 10C 11,190 L75 <br /> 5C 11,182 L83 <br /> 3C 11,135 L130 <br /> Average 11,205 L60 <br /> H means High L means Low <br /> 25 <br />