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13 <br /> The SAPFOTAC also monitors projects that have not reached the stage of the development <br /> process when CAPS are issued. Therefore, student estimates are not yet available. The <br /> following is a list of projects for which rezoning has been approved: <br /> Residential Project Jurisdiction Expected Number of Units <br /> St Paul Village Chapel Hill 350 <br /> Link Apartments at 101 E Rosemary Chapel Hill 150 <br /> Longleaf Trace Chapel Hill 42-60 <br /> South Creek(Phase 3) Chapel Hill 56-76 Single-Family <br /> 249-386 Multi-Family <br /> Gateway/Meridian (Phase 2 Chapel Hill 72 <br /> Barbee Chapel Apartments Chapel Hill 262-350 <br /> School Renovation and Expansion <br /> The Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance (SAPFO) student projections illustrate when <br /> the adopted level of service capacities are forecasted to be met and/or exceeded in anticipation of <br /> Capital Improvement Plan (CIP)planning and the construction of a new school. Both school <br /> districts continue planning efforts to renovate and expand existing facilities to address school <br /> capacity needs in a more feasible way. Additional capacity resulting from school renovations and <br /> expansions will be added to the projection models in stages, once funding is approved, versus the <br /> addition of greater capacity when a new school is constructed and completed. The renovation <br /> and expansion to existing facilities may delay construction of new schools further into the future, <br /> depending on how and how much capacity is added to the system. Decisions on the timing of <br /> reconstruction (i.e. capacity additions)funding would be directly linked to the SAPFO model at <br /> the appropriate time. <br /> 2023 Woolpert Facilities Capital Needs Assessment, Operations Research and Education <br /> Laboratory (OREd) Student Projections, Future Student Projection Methodology, and <br /> Student Generation Rates <br /> In 2023, Orange County contracted with Woolpert, Inc. to conduct a Facilities Capital Needs <br /> Assessment on all schools within both districts. Part of the assessment included calculating <br /> capacity at each school. At the Elementary level, two capacity calculations were completed: one <br /> that excluded space used by Pre-K programs and one that did not account for Pre-K usage. The <br /> capacity numbers reported and used in the 2025 SAPFOTAC Report take space allocations for <br /> Pre-K students into account. <br /> Also in 2023, each school district contracted with NC State's Operations Research and Education <br /> Laboratory (OREd)to complete a"Land Use Study" and student membership projections. <br /> OREd's projection model includes a forecasting component whereas the SAPFO model is <br /> mathematically based using historical data and accepted projection methodologies. In December <br /> 2024, the Board of County Commissioners authorized notification to the parties of the SAPFO <br /> MOU that the student projection methodology will be changed to either the one employed by <br /> (OREd) or Carolina Demography. The SAPFO partners were invited to comment on this update <br /> and the Board of Commissioners is expected to make a final decision in April 2025 on which <br /> methodology is used moving forward. Either projection methodology is expected to use a <br /> student generation rate determined by the projection professionals It is anticipated the <br /> SAPFOTAC will evaluate the student generation rates used by the selected professionals for <br /> inclusion into the CAPS (Certificate of Adequate Public Schools)process. <br /> viii <br />