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Attachment II.B.3—Student Membership Projection Models Performance Analysis(2024-25) <br /> 4fPage 3 of 4) <br /> Section H <br /> Chapel Hill-Carrboro City School District <br /> School Membership 2024-2025 School Year (November 15, 2024) <br /> 11/15/23 2024 Report 11/15/24 Change between actual <br /> Actual Projection for Actual Nov 2023 - Nov 2024 <br /> 23-24 2024-25 2024-25 <br /> Elementary 4575 4518 - 57 <br /> Model Projection is <br /> T 4538 H2O <br /> OCP 4454 L64 <br /> 10C 4375 L143 <br /> 5C 4374 L144 <br /> 3C 4440 L78 <br /> Average 1 4436 L82 <br /> 11/15/23 11/15/24 <br /> Middle 2716 2656 -60 <br /> Model Projection is <br /> T 2694 H38 <br /> OCP 2644 L12 <br /> 10C 2659 H3 <br /> 5C 2652 L4 <br /> 3C 2697 H41 <br /> Average 2669 H13 <br /> 11/15/23 11/15/24 <br /> High 3974 3958 -16 <br /> Model Projection is <br /> T 3942 L16 <br /> OCP 3869 L89 <br /> 10C 3933 L25 <br /> 5C 3933 L25 <br /> 3C 3953 L5 <br /> Average 3926 L32 <br /> Totals 11/15/23 11/15/24 <br /> Elementary 4575 4518 <br /> Middle 2716 2656 <br /> High 3974 3958 <br /> Total 11,265 11,132 - 133 <br /> Model Projection is <br /> T 11,174 H42 <br /> OCP 10,967 L165 <br /> 10C 10,967 L165 <br /> 5C 10,959 L173 <br /> 3C 11,090 L42 <br /> Average 11,031 L101 <br /> H means High L means Low <br /> 29 <br />