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C. student Projections <br />1. <br />2, <br />ResponsiGfe EntitJ~ for Seggesting Clzmrge -Updating of this section will be conducted <br />by the Plamiing Directors, School Representatives, Technical Advisory Conunittee <br />(SAPFOTAC). <br />Definition -The result of the average of the five models represented by 10 year <br />numerical membership projections by school level (Elementary, Middle, and High) for <br />each school district (Chapel Bill/Carrboro School District and Orange C.owzty School <br />District) . <br />3, Startdar•d for: <br />Chapel Hill Carrboro School District <br />Stmtdard for: <br />Orange County School Dish-iet <br />See Attachment II C.4 <br />4. <br />See Attaclmrent II C.3 <br />Analysis of Existing Conditions <br />The membership figures and percentage growth on the attachments show continued <br />growth in both systems. Vaziability by school level and between the School Districts is <br />also noted, The projections models were updated using current (November 15) <br />memberships and ten years were projected thereafter. <br />Recontn:endation - <br />Use statistics as noted in .3 above <br />(See Attaclnnent II C.4) <br />Reconunendation- <br />Use statistics as noted in .3 above <br />(See Attaclnrent II C3) <br />Elernerztary <br />Projections are consistent with previous year's <br />that show a relatively moderate but constant <br />Elementary <br />Projections are consistent with previous years <br />that show a relatively slow but constant growth <br />growth of about seven classrooms a year'. The of about tluee classrooms a year, During the <br />105% level of service will be maintained until ten year timeframe, membership is projected to <br />a projected 10`h );lementary school is expected <br />to open in 2006-2007. hr the later years of the <br />be within the level of service (LOS) standards <br />of the School APFO. <br />27 <br />