Orange County NC Website
Browse       Search
Attaclunent ILB <br />STIJ)DENT MEMBERSHIP PROJECTION (page 7 of 10) <br />School District: <br />Year/Date Issued <br />Year/Date Based: <br />Years Projected: <br />A. Pi°ojectiar Type: <br />1. Projection <br />Description/ <br />Characteristics: <br />2. Projection rormula: <br />OCP Linear Wave <br />Mathematical linear with percent variation among school levels. <br />Reflecting progressing waves of membership. <br />BYM i- BYI - I5(n)) = EYM EYM x %SL = EYM/SL <br />(6YN =base year 2"`r mouth membership; RYI = year shrdem meurbership increment <br />hose (330), EYAI =Ensuing year membership, n =Projection Year; % SL = % of total <br />membershin oersc/roollere! (i.e., elementm7., miilrlle, high), E}'41/SL ° Ensuiirg yem <br />3. Projection Base year growth reflects 10-yeaz average. <br />Assumptions: Decrease in BYI of 15 reflects decreases in housing growth. <br />Reflects buildout constraints. <br />4. Avei°age Annual 2.47 <br />Growth Rate: ASGR = (2014 PM - 2004 AM)/10 = 262.5 (ASGR =Annual Student Gror+nh Rate; <br />PM =Projected Membership, AA1=Actual A4embership) ~ _ <br />5. Attachments: a) Projections (includes: Total, Elementary, Middle, and High) <br />b) School level <br />c) Chapel Hill Actual and Projected Population 1900-2025 <br />6. Projection Performed: By: David Meaux Date: 12/11./2003 <br />7. Projection Reviewed: By: Date: <br />8. Projection Certified: <br />9. Comments: <br />23 <br />Chapel I-Iill - Carrboro <br />12/]1/2003 <br />November 15, 2003-2004 <br />20(15-2014 <br />G:\Comprehensive Planning Div\6parker\OC projection-CIiCS D_t t_I S 2003 03/29/0 <br />