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Attaclunent IhB.1 <br />STUDENT MEMBERSHIP PROTECTION (Page 6 of 10) <br />School District: Chapel Hill - Carrboro _~ <br />Year/Date Issued: 12/11/2003 <br />Year/Date Based: November 15, 2003-2004 _~ _ - <br />Years Projected: 2005-2014 _ <br />A. P~°ojection Type: Tischler Linear <br />1. Projection Mathematical formula <br />Description/ Straight line projection <br />Characteristics: _ <br />2. Projection formula: y = ((c"`b)"`x)+b <br />(y =Projected Populatiai, c = Historical ~nnxal Change, G =Base Tear, s = <br />Projection fears) <br />3. Projection Historical growth is reflected in projected growth <br />Assumptions: % Elementary, Middle, and High taken fiom SYE 2004 and held <br />constant fluoughout projection. <br />4. Annual Growth Rate: 3.96% Note. this is an arerage annual grolrth rnte ores ten years <br />5. Attachments: a) Projections (includes: Total, Elementary, Middle, and high) <br />6. Projection Performed: By: David Meaux Date: 12/11/2003 <br />7. P~°ojection Reviewed: By~. Date: _ <br />8. Projection Certified: <br />9. Comments: _ _ <br />22 <br />G:\Comprehensive Plam»ng Div\kparker\iischler projection-CHCSD_I 1_15_?003 03/?9/04 <br />