Orange County NC Website
Browse       Search
Attachment ILB.1 <br />STUDENT MEMBERS]EIIP PROJECTION (Page .3 of 10) <br />School District: Orange County ~„~ _ <br />Year/Date Issued: May 11, 2004 <br />Year/Date Based: November 15, 2003-2004 <br />Years Projected: 2005-201 ,,_ <br />A. Projection Type: 3 Year Cohort <br />1. Projection Mathematical formula that computes the average advancement rate over <br />Description/ the previous 3 years for each grade level and then uses each rate to calculate^_ <br />Characteristics: projected membership by school level. An assumed kindergarten membership <br /> is based on birth records and/or historical growth rates. ~~_ <br />2. Projection Formula: a "-' <br />K,.=K,.-i+(K„-r"0.01) a=(~G,.IS°-i)l.3 b=S„-r(a) <br /> ,~=3 <br /> _ K=Kindergarten membership n=Given school }+ear; G=Given grade's membership <br /> (other than Kindergm'ten), g=Previous grade's membership, a=Average advancement <br /> rate, 6=Projected membership <br />3. Projection Assumes a 1% annual growth rate for the kindergarten grade level. <br />Assumptions: Assumes the salve percentage of students in each grade level graduate <br />to the next level each year. <br />4. Average Annual <br />Growth Rate: <br />5. Attachments: <br />6. Projection Performed: By: Scr°oggs, Benedict, Dean Date: 3/4/2004 <br />7. Projection Reviewed: <br />8. Projection Certified: <br />9. Comments: <br />0.67% Note: This is an average annual rate over all school levels over ten years. <br />Date: <br />19 <br />