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AttachrnentII.B.1 <br />STUDENT MEMBERSHIP PR®JECTION (page 1 of 10) <br />School District: Orange County <br />Year/Date Issued: 12/11/2003 <br />Year/Date Based: November 15, 2003-2004 <br />Years Projected: 2005-2014 <br />A. Projection Type: Tischler Linear _ _~_ <br />1. Projection Mathematical formula <br />Descr°iption/ Straight line projection ~ _ <br />Characteristics: <br />2. Projection Formula: y = ((c'~`b)~'x)+b <br />(y =Projected Poptdntion, c =Historical Annual Change; V =Base 3'ear, z = <br />Projection S'earsJ <br />.3. Projection <br />Assumptions: <br />Historical growth is reflected in <br />Elementary, Middle, and High taken fi~om SYE 2004_ and held <br />constant throughout projection. <br />4. Anriual Growth Rate: 2.00% Note. this is art average annual gro~n/t rate over ten years <br />5. Attachments: a) Projections (includes: Total, Elementary, Middle, and High) <br />6. Projection Performed: By: David Meaux Date: 12/11/2003 <br />7. Projection Reviewed: Bye ~ Date: <br />8. Projection Cep°tified: <br />9. Comments: <br />G:V+dministratiee Div\CRAIG\S°hool Impact p°cVischtcr projcctionACSD_l 1_15_2003 doc ~3t>9t04 1 ~ <br />