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B. Student Projection 1VIethodology <br />2. <br />3. <br />4, <br />ResponsiGle EntitJ~,fa• Suggestir:g Chmrge -Reviewed and recommended by the <br />Plarn7ing Directors, School Representatives, Techruaal Advisory Committee <br />(SAPFOTAC). <br />Defitzitiorz -The method(s) by which student memberships are calculated for futtn'e <br />years to determine total membership at each combined school level (Elementary, Middle <br />azrd High School),. <br />Standard for: <br />Standm•d for: <br />Chapel Hill Carrboro School District <br />Orange County School District <br />Presently, the average of five models are being used: namely 3, 5, and 10 year <br />cohort survival methods, Orange County Plamring Department Linear Wave and <br />Tischler Linear methods.` <br />Analysis of .Existing Couditiora <br />This will be monitored each year and a <br />trade record of performance will be <br />evaluated. <br />Analysis ofExistirzg Conditions <br />This will be monitored each yeaz and a track <br />record of performance will be evaluated. <br />Reconunendation - <br />No Change from above standard. <br />Reconunendation- <br />No Change from above standard, <br />See Report on one year of performance, The value of a projection model is its <br />prediction of school level capacities at least three years in advance of capacity <br />shortfalls so the Capital Investment Plan (CIP) can respond in advance, <br />'° See attaclunent <br />16 <br />