Orange County NC Website
Browse       Search
23 <br /> 1 Slide #4 <br /> What is an enrollment forecast? What is it not? <br /> What is it? <br /> • A scientific"most likely"scenario based on all inputs. <br /> • Avery useful planning tool, if used correctly and questioned. <br /> What is it not? <br /> • A crystal ball that will tell us,with complete accuracy,what <br /> enrollment will be in 10 years, <br /> • A random and wild guess at what enrollment will be in 10 <br /> years. <br /> CAROLINA CAROLINA <br /> UNC POPULATION CENTER carolinademography.cpc.unc.edu D E M O G R/ P H Y <br /> 2 <br /> 3 Slide #5 <br /> 4 <br /> What is the goal of the enrollment forecast process? <br /> To develop reasonable enrollment forecasts that take <br /> into account: <br /> a) Demographic processes(i.e., births, migration) <br /> b) Historical enrollment patterns <br /> c) Potential changes in charter and private school <br /> expansions(i.e., market share) <br /> d) Local Development <br /> e) COVID-19 effects <br /> 7 7� C CAROLINA car©linademography.cpc.unc.edu CAROLINA <br /> L <br /> POPULATION CENTER DEMOGRAPHY <br /> 5 <br /> 6 <br /> 7 Slide #6 <br /> Enrollment Forecasts: A Collaborative Effort <br /> CAROLINA <br /> DEMOMPHY <br /> Orange <br /> Demographic Count <br /> Analytics Advisors C schools <br /> ORANGE COUNTY <br /> NORTH CAROLINA <br /> �'�I <br /> �+,pT INC CAPOUNcaro i <br /> A CAROLINA <br /> V!�I t. POPULATION CENTER nademography.cpc.unc.edu DEM 0 G R L P H Y <br /> 8 <br />