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9 <br /> 2025 SAPFOTAC Executive Summary <br /> I. Base Memorandum of Understanding <br /> A. Level of Service ....................................................................(No Change)........Pg. I <br /> Chapel HilllCarrboro Orange County <br /> School District School District <br /> Elementary 105% 105% <br /> Middle 107% 107% <br /> High 110% 110% <br /> B. Building Capacity and Membership..................................(Change)..............Pg. 2 <br /> Chapel HilUCarrboro Orange County <br /> School District School District <br /> Capacity* Membership Change from Capacity** Membership Change from <br /> Prior Year Prior Year <br /> Elementary 5315 4518 -57 3453 2994 -61 <br /> Middle 2993 2656 -60 2396 1582 +3 <br /> High 3701 3958 - 16 2678 2369 -13 <br /> * Capacity has been updated to reflect the results of the Woolpert,Inc. study. <br /> ** Capacity has been updated to reflect use of NCDPI's capacity formulas. <br /> C. Membership Date—November 15.......................................(No Change)........Pg. 18 <br /> II. Annual Update to SAPFO System <br /> A. Capital Investment Plan (CIP) ...........................................(No Change)........Pg. 19 <br /> B. Student Membership Projection Methodology.................(No Change*)......Pg. 20 <br /> The average of 3, 5,and 10 year history/cohort survival,linear and arithmetic projection models. <br /> *See additional information in Executive Summary and Report <br /> C. Student Membership Projections.......................................(Change)..............Pg. 30 <br /> Analysis of 5 Years of Projections for 2024-2025 School Year—Chapel Hill/Carrboro City Schools <br /> (The first column for each year includes the student membership projection made for 2024-2025 in that given year.The second column for each <br /> year includes the number of students the projection was off compared to actual membership.An"L"indicates the projection was low compared <br /> to the actual,whereas an"H"indicates the projection was high compared to the actual. <br /> Year Projection Made for 2024-2025 Membership <br /> Actual2024 2019-2020 2020-2021 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 <br /> Membership <br /> Elementary 4518 5489 H971 4655 H137 4411 L107 4495 L23 4436 L82 <br /> Middle -2656 2917 H261 2671 H15 2581 L75 2631 L25 2669 H13 <br /> High 3958 1 4111 H153 3893 L65 3801 L157 3862 L96 3926 L32 <br /> i <br />