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13 <br /> Slide #5 <br /> Context <br /> • Schools Adequate Public Facility Ordinance— Memorandum of Understanding <br /> (SAPFO MOU) <br /> Applies a series of formulas to create 10-year projection of utilization <br /> No need triggered unless allowable maximum is achieved <br /> CHCCS Student Projections(ti idJ <br /> EWranla <br /> &kdY,a, AWS Milt 3136I7 WIM AINH Ana Otto' Ana 1111.9 1m5/ 1Alaa ANA WWI ANA ANN AM MMMI ZQ 1@11 211a1 <br /> ±Sr 57C! 5�1 55R $471 M 1 41a iIs, 05 <br /> 45A 45M "47 lla 43, IaW ISIi LAILAW4Ai <br /> 4151 411 Coo in 10 1A1 3111 aM am 113 <br /> '1•ra��✓, 4375 1 tall toll 1111 art 31r Mo loll C11 <br /> 4574 I'm 1W in IN 1M 19a US loll CIL <br /> IN 1 W 1 , I,W III 410 I`R tin 4H1 <br /> 1a 4151 1a0 l0! IOA 011 40 US <br /> 1 <br /> InNI.4 •teal 11 r INI Is I' 1 4 II r <br /> c_N-ml%I V&m ua sm sm .1 am IN LN sal UM. Lol up LIN AN am Is &M "Mm UNI S1a sal <br /> gmMdp�ip,kul a+l kgNfiAPr14dIA N0%Los .lN; IU, lNT pal I".11trri <br /> 0%I Ilan nlni Im I41tL 11411 11Ol p11N Hiet 1116111 7s01, I'M PM <br /> .,MtLxWorSeMn LOSS 1 1 1 i r <br /> M•E«d Aeln,ksil ak en1 11NI lDl19 I 1 1 III 1 I 1 1 it I I <br /> na,is•,r< fi'% lH% lo. IIS% a47% 82 pM <br /> .ene5erax Rh ill% l4 nm '.R `,4S M UK <br /> a'alhrBlwllRr am 1 lrc n a. aa% a r 4. 11]% a ill% 1ai <br /> ..M........�..�rrr._.,......,.r.,,.•.,.wo....a..e_.:.a..a.... .•. jw.,Nu«rvcxgr•��Im ,�lr:::.Iann>~, <br /> a��.+�o�....nraer..•r.ran.1.. <br /> •r..r.u•�a....a,.en.��..a..+�wd....r«.n....awaomr.,w.,.,..�:.rlr.rts <br /> Slide #6 <br /> Context <br /> • Schools Adequate Public Facility Ordinance— Memorandum of Understanding <br /> — (SAPFO MOU) <br /> — Why make changes? <br /> — Capacity Deficiencies <br /> Did not account for capacity used for Pre-K classrooms <br /> • Did not recognize capacity constraints in specialized classrooms <br /> Capacity deficiencies addressed through Woolpert.Inc.and follow-up work with Districts <br /> — Student Projection Methodology <br /> Formulas rely on history to predict future growth <br /> Linear,Ten-year average <br /> 3,5,and 10 year cohort grade advancement rates with 1%annual elementary growth <br /> • Would not respond to system shocks—rapid simultaneous development,new charter school,expanded vouchers <br /> ORANGE COUNTY <br /> 6 NORTH CAROLINA <br />