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23 <br /> in 2024-25, or they could instead enroll in kindergarten. Based on the challenge in accurately forecasting <br /> kindergarten enrollments in 2024-25,and the continued challenges posed by COVID-19,we did not assume <br /> that these"missing"kindergartners would be enrolled in WCPSS in 2024-25. <br /> Charter School Impact <br /> The current model accounts for the continued growth of two charter schools,as well as the continued build <br /> out of three other charter schools,with a potential impact of 1,673 students from WCPSS when they are fully <br /> built out. The impact of currently open and fully filled charters is assumed to be captured in the existing <br /> data9. <br /> Table 7. Total Anticipated Charter Impact in Wake County <br /> 2024 through 2033 <br /> grade 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 <br /> K 106 116 127 134 137 137 137 137 137 137 <br /> 1 110 120 132 138 141 141 141 141 141 141 <br /> 2 50 120 132 138 140 140 140 140 140 140 <br /> 3 0 50 132 138 140 140 140 140 140 140 <br /> 4 0 0 50 138 140 140 140 140 140 140 <br /> 5 0 0 0 50 140 140 140 140 140 140 <br /> 6 0 0 0 0 50 50 50 50 50 50 <br /> 7 100 100 100 100 100 150 150 150 150 150 <br /> 8 0 100 100 100 100 100 150 150 150 150 <br /> 9 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 <br /> 10 107 107 107 107 107 107 107 107 107 107 <br /> 11 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 <br /> 12 155 167 167 167 167 167 167 167 167 167 <br /> Total 839 1,091 1,258 1,421 1,573 1,623 1,673 1,673 1,673 1,673 <br /> Results <br /> The forecast yields the following results for Month 2 ADM: <br /> • In 2024-25,a net gain of 450 students over the 2023-24 Month 2 ADM,an increase of 0.3%. <br /> • Small decrease in Month 2 ADM in 2025-26(below 0.1%) <br /> • Steady increases in Month 2 ADM through 2032-33 after that. <br /> • Overall gain of 12,362 students(7.7%)over the ten-year period. <br /> 9Most of the current charters are at capacity/buildout. Some of the existing charters are below their projected enrollments while <br /> others are above their approved/projected enrollments.Because these patterns are inconsistent,we assumed no changes going forward. <br /> 19 <br />