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5 <br /> 2024 SAPFOTAC Executive Summary <br /> I. Base Memorandum of Understanding <br /> A. Level of Service ....................................................................(No Change)........Pg. 1 <br /> Chapel Hill/Carrboro Orange County <br /> School District School District <br /> Elementary 105% 105% <br /> Middle 107% 107% <br /> High 110% 110% <br /> B. Building Capacity and Membership..................................(Change)..............Pg. 2 <br /> Chapel Hill/Carrboro Orange County <br /> School District School District <br /> Change from Change from <br /> Capacity Membership Prior Year Capacity Membership Prior Year <br /> Elementary 5664 4575 -82 3361 3055 -4 <br /> Middle 2944 2716 -82 2166 1579 -19 <br /> High 3975 3974 +24 2939 2382 -105 <br /> C. Membership Date—November 15.......................................(No Change)........Pg. 18 <br /> II. Annual Update to SAPFO System <br /> A. Capital Investment Plan (CIP) ...........................................(No Change)........Pg. 19 <br /> B. Student Membership Projection Methodology.................(No Change)........Pg. 20 <br /> The average of 3, 5,and 10 year history/cohort survival,linear and arithmetic projection models. <br /> C. Student Membership Projections.......................................(Change)..............Pg. 30 <br /> Analysis of 5 Years of Projections for 202-2024 School Year—Chapel Hill/Carrboro City Schools <br /> (The first column for each year includes the student membership projection made for 2023-2024 in that given year.The second column for each <br /> year includes the number of students the projection was off compared to actual membership.An"L"indicates the projection was low compared <br /> to the actual,whereas an"H"indicates the projection was high compared to the actual.) <br /> Year Projection Made for 2023-2024 Membership <br /> Actual2023 2018-2019 2019-2020 2020-2021 2021-2022 2022-2023 <br /> Membership <br /> Elementary 4575 5498 H923 5367 H792 4708 H133 4582 L7 4581 H6 <br /> Middle 2716 2943 H227 2992 H276 2830 H114 2742 H26 2710 L6 <br /> High 3974 4037 H63 4085 H111 3915 L59 3908 L66 3914 H60 <br /> 1 <br />