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10 <br /> Slide#5 <br /> CONDITION ASSESSMENT FINDINGS <br /> Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Orange County Schools <br /> TnIal 5-Year Need-$297.2 Million Total 15-Year Need-$201.4 Million <br /> 1 <br /> i F' <br /> Overal I SAPFO Ult lization DistN ctwi d' 'I Overa I I SAP FO Uti I izatio n Distri ctwi i <br /> i 11 from 1'.to>120% <br /> are undersized under5ized <br /> �t <br /> Chair Bedford asked the difference between replacement value and the ten-year need. <br /> Jessica Goodell said that the replacement value is the theoretical cost to replace facilities <br /> on the cost by square foot. She said that does not include site acquisitions or utilities. She said <br /> the ten-year need is where the consultants went into the schools and charted the things that might <br /> need to be replaced or things that might fail within the next ten years that would need to be <br /> replaced. <br /> Commissioner Richards asked if the replacement value includes optimal sizing of <br /> classrooms or the existing. <br /> Jessica Goodell said it is based on the existing square footage. <br /> Commissioner Richards asked if the utilization at the ten-year projection considers <br /> population and need plus the cost. <br /> Jessica Goodell said that utilization is the number that is currently in the facility divided by <br /> how many should be in the facility. <br /> Commissioner Richards asked if it assumes the population stays flat. <br /> David Sturtz said no. He said that the utilization numbers are based on the last official <br /> enrollment number and the preliminary projections they were provided were reviewed. He said <br /> they have been able to see the long-term trend is enrollment decline in CHCCS and flat enrollment <br /> in OCS. <br /> Commissioner Richards said that the only thing that gives her a little pause on that is that <br /> her understanding is that there are a lot of students in OCS going to charter schools and that has <br /> accelerated in recent years. <br /> David Sturtz said projections were not in the scope to perform, but they do them relatively <br /> often. He said that without doing the study he anticipates steady numbers simply based on his <br /> observations and experience, but it was not part of the scope. <br />