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42 <br /> Section II Attachment II.B.2—Student Membership Projection Models Performance Analysis (2022-23) <br /> (Page 3 of 4) <br /> Chapel Hill-Carrboro City School District <br /> School Membership 2022-2023 School Year November 15, 2022 <br /> 11/15/21 2022 Report 11/15/22 Change between actual <br /> Actual Projection for Actual Nov 2021 - Nov 2022 <br /> 2021-22 2022-23 2022-23 <br /> Elementary 4738 4657 -81 <br /> Model Projection is <br /> T 4710 H53 <br /> OCP 4619 L38 <br /> 10C 4557 L100 <br /> 5C 4526 L131 <br /> 3C 4496 L161 <br /> Avera a 4582 L75 <br /> 11/15/21 11/15/22 <br /> Middle 2802 2798 -4 <br /> Model Projection is <br /> T 2786 L12 <br /> OCP 2753 L45 <br /> 10C 2736 L62 <br /> 5C 2729 L69 <br /> 3C 2709 L89 <br /> Avera a 2742 L56 <br /> 11/15/21 11/15/22 <br /> High 3940 3950 + 10 <br /> Model Projection is <br /> T 3917 L33 <br /> OCP 3840 L110 <br /> 10C 3918 L32 <br /> 5C 3940 L10 <br /> 3C 3924 L26 <br /> Avera a 3908 L42 <br /> Totals 11/15/21 11/15/22 <br /> Elementary 4738 4657 <br /> Middle 2802 2798 <br /> High 3940 3950 <br /> Total 11,480 11,405 -75 <br /> Model Projection is <br /> T 11,413 H8 <br /> OCP 11,212 L193 <br /> 10C 11,211 L194 <br /> 5C 11,195 L210 <br /> 3C 11,129 L276 <br /> Average 11,232 L173 <br /> H means High <br /> L means Low <br /> 24 <br />