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11 <br /> C. Projections are not showing a need to expand Carrboro High School from the initial <br /> capacity of 800 students to the ultimate capacity of 1,200 students in the 10-year <br /> projection period. <br /> ORANGE COUNTY SCHOOL DISTRICT <br /> Elementary School Level <br /> A. Does not currently exceed 105%LOS standard(current LOS is 90.9%). <br /> B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to increase but remain negative over <br /> the next 10 years (average -0.14% compared to -1.13% over the past 10 years). <br /> C. Projections are not showing a need for an additional Elementary School in the 10-year <br /> projection period. <br /> Middle School Level <br /> A. Does not currently exceed 107% LOS standard(current LOS is 72.9%). <br /> B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to increase but remain negative over <br /> the next 10 years (average -0.44% compared to -0.98% over the past 10 years). <br /> C. Projections are not showing a need for an additional Middle School in the 10-year <br /> projection period. <br /> High School Level <br /> A. Does not currently exceed 110%LOS standard(current LOS is 81.0%). <br /> B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to decrease and remain negative over <br /> the next 10 years (average -0.91% compared to -0.13% over the past 10 years). <br /> C. Projections are not showing a need for additional High School in the 10-year projection <br /> period. <br /> ADDITIONAL INFORMATION <br /> Pre-K Students <br /> In recent years, Pre-K enrollment has been a topic of discussion with both school districts. At <br /> this time, SAPFO has not been amended to include Pre-K in the membership and capacity <br /> numbers. However, Pre-K numbers and impacts continue to be monitored by the SAPFOTAC. <br /> Pre-K students for each district is as follows: <br /> Chapel Hill-Carrboro Orange County <br /> School Year Number of Students Number of Students <br /> 2019-20 267 144 <br /> 2020-21 208 (-59) 86 (-58) <br /> 2021-22 222 (+14) 125 (+39) <br /> 2022-23 295 (+73) 101 -24 <br /> 2023-24 250 (-45) 91 -10 <br /> iii <br />