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q3F <br /> y <br /> f <br /> Awk, <br /> To determine what the County's emissions might look like in 2050, a series of <br /> GHG emissions forecasts were developed.As illustrated in Figure D,a Business- <br /> As-Usual forecast was developed to forecast the County's emissions without any <br /> additional action from federal, State, or local governments. A series of growth <br /> factors such as population and household growth were applied to the County's <br /> baseline emissions. Without any additional action, the County's emissions are <br /> expected to increase from 1,640,492 metric tons in 2019 to 1,823,115 metric <br /> tons in 2050. <br /> To project the County's emissions in 2050 including the expected impacts <br /> of State and local actions, an Adjusted Business-As-Usual forecast was <br /> developed.This forecast, shown in Figure E, includes expected increases in fuel <br /> economy and building energy efficiency in North Carolina, as well as the local <br /> utility companies' commitments to 50% emissions reduction in 2030 and net <br /> zero emissions by 2050. Further methodology on the emission forecast can be <br /> found in Appendix B. The Adjusted Business as usual shows the emissions in <br /> Orange County dropping from 1,631,674 MT CO2e per year to 947,191 MT CO2e <br /> peryear.A reduction of 42%should Corporate Average Fuel Economy standards <br /> continue, and the local utility companies become net zero in 2050. <br /> GROWTH FACTORS <br /> • • ENERGY rVEHICLE • I • <br /> GROWTH - • GROWTH <br /> TRAVELED <br /> 28 2023 CLIMATE ACTION PLAN ORANGE COUNTY, NORTH CAROLINA <br />