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6 <br /> 2023 SAPFOTAC Executive Summary <br /> I. Base Memorandum of Understanding <br /> A. Level of Service ....................................................................(No Change)........Pg. 1 <br /> Chapel Hill/Carrboro Orange County <br /> School District School District <br /> Elementary 105% 105% <br /> Middle 107% 107% <br /> High 110% 110% <br /> B. Building Capacity and Membership ..................................(Change)..............Pg. 2 <br /> Chapel Hill/Carrboro Orange County <br /> School District School District <br /> Change from Change from <br /> Capacity Membership Prior Year Capacity Membership Prior Year <br /> Elementary 5664 4657 -81 3361 3059 +36 <br /> Middle 2944 2798 -4 2166 1598 -58 <br /> High 3975 J 3950 +10 2939 2487 +15 <br /> C. Membership Date—November 15.......................................(No Change)........Pg. 17 <br /> II. Annual Update to SAPFO System <br /> A. Capital Investment Plan (CIP) ...........................................(No Change)........Pg. 18 <br /> B. Student Membership Projection Methodology.................(No Change)........Pg. 19 <br /> The average of 3, 5,and 10 year history/cohort survival,linear and arithmetic projection models. <br /> C. Student Membership Projections.......................................(Change)..............Pg. 29 <br /> Analysis of 5 Years of Projections for 2022-2023 School Year—Chapel Hill/Carrboro City Schools <br /> (The first column for each year includes the student membership projection made for 2022-2023 in that given year.The second column for each year <br /> includes the number of students the projection was off compared to actual membership.An"L"indicates the projection was low compared to the <br /> actual,whereas an"H"indicates the projection was high compared to the actual.) <br /> Year Projection Made for 2022-2023 Membership <br /> Actual 2022 2017-2018 2018-2019 2019-2020 2020-2021 2021-2022 <br /> Membership <br /> Elementary 4657 5504 H847 5498 H841 5367 H710 4708 H51 4582 L75 <br /> Middle 2798 2881 H83 2943 H145 2992 H194 2830 H32 2742 L56 <br /> High 3950 4028 H78 4037 H87 4085 H135 3915 L35 3908 L42 <br /> 1 <br />