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<br /> <br /> <br />4 <br /> <br />number may decrease if patients are deflected to Facility in lieu of transport to the ED and received <br />initial care at the Facility instead of the ED. There is limited analysis of this category at this time, the <br />high and low deflection rates for this category, therefore, are conservatively set at 10% and 5%, <br />respectively. <br /> <br />Results <br />The final step in the process of determining the number of episodes that could be served by the new <br />Facility each month is generating a mid-point estimate. The mid-point estimate that results from this <br />process is approximately 400 episodes per month. <br />The mid-point estimate is derived by multiplying the number of episodes from Table 1 by the deflection <br />rates in Table 2. This results in two estimates: a high estimate and a low estimate. Combining these <br />estimates produces a mid-point estimate that is shown in Table 3. <br />It should be noted that the mid-point estimate is not the average of the total numbers. The reason for this <br />is that the high and low deflection rate values are applied to each stakeholder/episode type and the result <br />then summed across all categories. <br />Table 3 presents the mid-point estimates in detail for each stakeholder/episode type. The two right-most <br />columns of Table 3 show the high and low value for each stakeholder. Totals for all stakeholders are <br />presented at the bottom of the columns. <br />Figure 3. Midpoint Estimate Totals and Breakdown by Episode Type and Stakeholder. <br /> <br />Demographic Breakdown <br />The above data presents the total number of episodes. It is important to gain an understanding of the <br />demographic breakdown by age, gender, ethnicity, and race. We tried to develop such a breakdown. <br />However, data were lacking or simply required too much analysis for our purposes. The most complete <br />data we could compile was data by age. The age breakdown is critically important to the design of the <br />new Facility because separate accommodations need to be provided for minors and adults. <br />MH-NV MH-V Suicide SUD Comm*Homeless Courts Det Ctr <br />14.5 0.0 0.0 50.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 65.2 63.0 67.3 <br />6.2 3.7 2.6 5.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.7 16.3 19.0 <br />1.7 1.3 0.8 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.4 5.0 5.8 <br />1.8 1.6 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.1 3.8 4.4 <br />1.7 1.7 2.0 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.3 8.6 10.1 <br />0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 <br />0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3 0.0 0.0 3.3 0.0 3.8 <br />0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.5 13.5 12.0 15.0 <br />0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.5 0.0 17.5 15.0 20.0 <br />0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3 0.0 3.3 2.7 4.0 <br />0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 <br />8.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.2 7.3 9.1 <br />43.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 43.2 38.4 48.0 <br />21.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.7 12.4 31.0 <br />0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 <br />0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 <br />0.0 0.0 0.0 52.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 52.0 42.3 61.8 <br />92.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.4 88.0 96.8 <br />0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 <br />26.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.5 17.7 35.3 <br />218.0 8.0 6.0 114.0 20.0 3.0 21.0 14.0 403.0 352.0 451.0 <br />Episodes Diverted to Crisis Facility Total <br />(Midpoint) <br />Total <br />(Low) <br />Total <br />(High) <br />Sobering Diversions <br />Walk-ins <br />Mobile Crisis (FH) <br />UNC (Urgent/Emergent) <br />Totals <br />Magstrate - IVCs <br />OC DSS <br />CHCCS <br />OC Schools <br />UNC ED/PES (Routine Cases) <br />UNC CAPS <br />OCSO <br />UNCP <br />All Orange County <br />OCSO Detention Center <br />Courts (assessments, etc.) <br />Juvenile Justice <br />Stakeholders <br />EMS <br />CHPD <br />CPD <br />HPD <br />DocuSign Envelope ID: 1920B089-58AA-4E97-8225-7BCF8DEBAAD4