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46 <br /> Section II Attachment ILB.3—Student Membership Projection Models Performance Analysis (2021-22) <br /> (Page 3 of 4) <br /> Chapel Hill-Carrboro City School District <br /> School Membership 2021-2022 School Year November 15, 2021 <br /> 11/13/20 2021 Report 11/15/21 Change between actual <br /> Actual Projection for Actual Nov 2020 - Nov 2021 <br /> 2020-21 2021-22 2021-22 <br /> Elementary 4893 4738 - 155 <br /> Model Projection is <br /> T 4885 H147 <br /> OCP 5085 H347 <br /> 10C 4732 L6 <br /> 5C 4695 L43 <br /> 3C 4644 L94 <br /> Avera a 4808 H70 <br /> 11/13/20 11/15/21 <br /> Middle 2917 2802 -115 <br /> Model Projection is <br /> T 2912 H110 <br /> OCP 2890 H88 <br /> 10C 2860 H58 <br /> 5C 2859 H57 <br /> 3C 2846 H44 <br /> Avera a 2874 H72 <br /> 11/13/20 11/15/21 <br /> High 3932 3940 + 8 <br /> Model Projection is <br /> T 3926 L14 <br /> OCP 3796 L144 <br /> 10C 3925 L15 <br /> 5C 3939 L1 <br /> 3C 3933 L7 <br /> Avera a 3904 L36 <br /> Totals 11/13/20 11/15/21 <br /> Elementary 4893 4738 <br /> Middle 2917 2802 <br /> High 3932 3940 <br /> Total 11,742 11,480 -262 <br /> Model Projection is <br /> T 11,723 H243 <br /> OCP 11,771 H291 <br /> 10C 11,517 H37 <br /> 5C 11,493 H 13 <br /> 3C 11,423 H57 <br /> Average 11,586 H106 <br /> H means High <br /> L means Low <br /> 28 <br />