Agenda - 10-22-2001-hb2 - Laserfiche WebLink

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3' proposed Orange Grove Road Development Traffic Impact Study 4. ANALYSIS OF FUTURE CONDITIONS WITHOUT DEVELOPMENT Projected Rased .Netivark Review of the 203) -2006 J\CDOT T noularadw, Inmmrenent Pmnan� mvealed that there are no planned or programmed roadway improvements in the immediate vlchdty of the proposed development that will be complete by 2006. Off -Sile Deoelo(nnent consolation with Ne orange County Planning Department revealed that there are several placated or prograirmted of -site developments in the vicinity of the proproed project Some of these include Corbin Downs (a proposed multi -use development on Old NC 86), a new High Calla al onNW,CWd eovaot non- residential development), an igh Since detailed beffic studies were not available for each of these future developments, the background traffic (2000 existing traffic conditions) was creased by 6% per year in order m accommodate for background growth plus additional growth due to development 'Los very aggressive growth rate is approximately twice as high as what is commonly seen in urbaNzed areas. Therefore, by rising a 6% annual growth rate, the 2!1116 background traffic volumes are more likely to be overestimated then underestimated. 2006 Pm'ected No -Build Try The proposed development is planned for boldest by the and of 2006, therefore, Year 2006 was chosen as the hours hori Yen year for traffic analysis purposes. As stated iii the previous section, a 6% annual growth rate was used in order to nmmoclate for background traffic growth in addition to growth caused by new development Urban areas typically see a 2.5 % to R% armual growth mtei therefore, using a 6% growth rate will more than account for normal growth plus growth caused by suaounding developments. Figure 4 illustrates the 2006 projected no build AM and lid peak hour traffic for the study area.