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50 <br /> Section II <br /> High School <br /> The previous year(2019-20)projections for November 2020 for this level were overestimated by <br /> 20 students. The actual membership decreased by 16 students. This school level has <br /> experienced decreases in four out of the ten previous school years and this school year. Growth <br /> rates during this period ranged from-3.93%to 4.58%. In 2012-13 student membership increased <br /> by 32 while capacity decreased by 119 at Orange County High School as a result of a N.C. <br /> Department of Public Instruction(DPI) study. Similar to last year's projections, the need for <br /> additional capacity at Cedar Ridge High School is not anticipated in the 10-year projection <br /> period. However, to address public safety concerns with the current high school capacity <br /> exceeding the 100% threshold, Cedar Ridge High School will be expanded from an initial <br /> capacity of 1,000 students to 1,500 students for the 2021-22 school year. <br /> Additional Information for Orange County School District <br /> The City of Mebane lies partially within Orange County and students within the Orange County <br /> portion of Mebane attend Orange County Schools. However, the City of Mebane is not a party <br /> to the SAPFO agreement and therefore does not require that CAPS (Certificate of Adequate <br /> Public Schools) be issued prior to development approvals. Following the economic downturn <br /> (2011-14), there has been an increase in approved and undeveloped residential development in <br /> the City of Mebane and the Town of Hillsborough. However, the residential growth that has <br /> occurred in the recent past within Mebane's and Hillsborough's jurisdiction has yet to be seen <br /> with OCS student membership numbers and fully realized into the historically based projection <br /> methods due to the recession, charter schools, and possibly new family dynamics affecting <br /> family size. SAPFOTAC will continue monitoring and evaluating the demand and growth of <br /> residential development in Mebane and Hillsborough as well as its effect on student membership <br /> rates. <br /> Currently, there are two Charter Schools located in the Town of Hillsborough, which continue to <br /> have an effect on OCS membership numbers. Charter schools are not included as part of the <br /> SAPFO Annual Report and, as a result, their membership and capacity are not included in future <br /> projections. However, the SAPFOTAC does monitor charter schools and their effect on student <br /> enrollment at both school districts. <br /> 5. Recommendation: <br /> Use statistics as noted in 3 above <br /> 32 <br />