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9 <br /> 2021 SAPFOTAC Executive Summary <br /> I. Base Memorandum of Understanding <br /> A. Level of Service ....................................................................(No Change)........Pg. I <br /> Chapel HilllCarrboro Orange County <br /> School District School District <br /> Elementary 105% 105% <br /> Middle 107% 107% <br /> High 110% 110% <br /> B. Building Capacity and Membership..................................(Change)..............Pg. 2 <br /> Chapel HiltlCarrboro Orange County <br /> School District School District <br /> Capacity Membership Change from Capacity Membership Change from <br /> Prior Year Prior Year <br /> Elementary 5664 4893 470 3361 3047 185 <br /> Middle 2944 2917 127 2166 1654 109 <br /> High 3975 1 3932 8 2439 2381 16 <br /> C. Membership Date—November 15.......................................(No Change)........Pg. 17 <br /> II. Annual Update to SAPFO System <br /> A. Capital Investment Plan (CIP) ...........................................(No Change)........Pg. 18 <br /> B. Student Membership Projection Methodology.................(No Change)........Pg. 19 <br /> The average of 3, 5,and 10 year history/cohort survival,linear and arithmetic projection models. <br /> C. Student Membership Projections.......................................(Change)..............Pg. 29 <br /> Analysis of 5 Years of Projections for 2020-2021 School Year—Chapel Hill/Carrboro City Schools <br /> (The first column for each year includes the student membership projection made for 2020-2021 in that given year.The second column for each year <br /> includes the number of students the projection was off compared to actual membership.An"L"indicates the projection was low compared to the <br /> actual,whereas an"H"indicates the projection was high compared to the actual. <br /> Year Projection Made for 2020-2021 Membership <br /> Actual2020 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018 2018-2019 2019-2020 <br /> Membership <br /> Elementary 4893 5699 H806 5728 H835 5473 H580 5444 H551 5356 H463 <br /> Middle 2917 2996 H79 2984 H67 2929 H12 2981 H64 3045 H128 <br /> High 3932 T 3883 H49 3879 H53 3933 H1 3972 H40 3985 H53 <br /> i <br />