Agenda - 03-16-2021; 8-b - Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance (SAPFO) – Receipt and Transmittal of 2021 Annual Technical Advisory Committee Report

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3 issuances in the fall of 2015 and are based on an inventory of recently built units from January 1, 2004 to December 31, 2013. 9. Access to Full Report The draft SAPFOTAC report will be posted on the Orange County Planning Department's web site. A letter and the Executive Summary of the report will be sent to all SAPFO partners after this BOCC meeting advising them of the availability of the draft report and inviting comment. 10. Additional Information COVID Impacts Both school districts have experienced decreases in student membership due to students being withdrawn and enrolled in private schools with in-person learning or homeschooled. At this time, staff believes these are temporary impacts and a majority of these students will return when in-person learning commences. However, the loss of students has impacted the SAPFO 10-year projections by decreasing future student growth rates and service levels and pushing building capacity needs far beyond the 10- year projection period. Recognizing concerns with these projections not being constructive in planning for the future or when students return to the classroom, Orange County Planning staff drafted hypothetical 2020-21 student membership and grade level numbers in order to generate alternative 10-year student projections. Additional information can be found on page iii of the Executive Summary. Changes in Class Size In 2018, the North Carolina General Assembly unveiled House Bill 90, which allows for a phasing-in process to address the decrease in class size averages over the next three school years. Based on House Bill 90, average class sizes for kindergarten to third grade will face a decrease from 1:20 to 1:19 for the 2019-2020 school year, 1:19 to 1:18 for the 2020-2021 school year, and 1:18 to 1:17 for the 2021-2022 school year. Reductions in class size averages may create elementary school capacity issues for the 2024-25 school year. Pre-K Enrollment In recent years, Pre-K enrollment has been a topic of discussion with both school districts. However, SAPFO has not been amended to include Pre-K in the membership and capacity numbers. Therefore, Pre-K children are not included in the membership numbers reported. Discussions regarding Pre-K students and impacts have been ongoing, however, COVID priorities have been the focus over the last several months. Pre-K membership enrollment for both districts are contained in the Executive Summary of the report. Charter Schools Charter and private schools are not included as part of the SAPFO Annual Report and, as a result, their membership and capacity numbers are not formally monitored or included in future projections. However, the SAPFO Technical Advisory Committee does monitor charter and private schools and their effect on student enrollment in both school districts. Additional information regarding charter school enrollment is contained in the Executive Summary. FINANCIAL IMPACT: Current student growth projections do not show capacity needs for additional schools in either the CHCCS District or OCS District during the 10-year projection period.