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A completed "PRIORITIZED VULNERABILITY REPORT" is found in <br /> the section of this document entitled SECURITY PLAN <br /> SUPPORTING DOCUMENTS at SECTION 7.4. <br /> Scenario Analysis <br /> Scenario analysis is brainstorming by transportation personnel, emergency responders, and <br /> contractors to identify threats to the system and to assess vulnerability to those threats. By <br /> matching threats to critical assets, OCPT identifies the capabilities required to counteract <br /> vulnerabilities. This activity promotes awareness and enables staff to more effectively <br /> recognize, prevent, and mitigate the consequences of threats. <br /> For each scenario, the OCPT has attempted to identify the potential impacts of probable threats <br /> using a standard risk analysis protocol in which threats are segmented by probability from low <br /> to high and severity of impact from modest to catastrophic. <br /> Scenario-based analysis is not an exact science but rather an illustrative tool demonstrating <br /> potential consequences associated with low-probability to high-impact events. To determine <br /> the actual need for additional countermeasures, and to provide the rationale for allocating <br /> resources to these countermeasures, the OCPT uses the scenario approach to pinpoint the <br /> vulnerable elements of the critical assets and make evaluations concerning the adequacy of <br /> current levels of protection. <br /> At the conclusion of the scenario-based analysis, the OCPT assembled a list of prioritized <br /> vulnerabilities for its top critical assets. These vulnerabilities are divided into the following <br /> categories: <br /> • lack of planning; <br /> • lack of coordination with local emergency responders; <br /> • lack of training and exercising; and <br /> • lack of physical security <br /> Based on the results of the scenario analysis, the OCPT identifies countermeasures to reduce <br /> vulnerabilities. <br /> 2.2c. - IDENTIFIED POTENTIAL TRANSIT SYSTEM THREATS <br /> The security of passengers and employees is paramount to promoting the objectives of FTA, <br /> NCDOT and their partner organizations in developing a Security Program. OCPT will take all <br /> reasonable and prudent actions to minimize the risk associated with intentional acts against <br /> passengers, employees and equipment/facilities. To further this objective, OCPT has <br /> 651Page <br />