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50 <br /> Section II <br /> Chapel Hill/Carrboro School District, which has a sizeable number of new families in older, <br /> existing housing stock. Capacity was decreased in 2017-18 due to changes in class size averages <br /> for kindergarten to third grade by the North Carolina State Legislature. The need for an <br /> additional Elementary School is not anticipated in the 10 year projection period. This is similar <br /> to last year's projections. <br /> Although not included in SAPFO school capacity or membership numbers, Pre-K programs <br /> continue to impact operations at District elementary schools where Pre-K programs exist. <br /> Specific impacts of Pre-K programs at the elementary school level will continue to be reviewed <br /> and discussed in the coming year. <br /> Middle <br /> The previous year(2018-19) projections for November 2019 for this level were overestimated by <br /> 27 students. The actual membership decreased by 16 students. Over the previous ten years, <br /> growth has varied widely with decreases in student membership in 2012-13, 2015-16, 2016-17, <br /> and this school year. Growth rates during this period have ranged from -1.31%to+4.00%. The <br /> district's third Middle School, Gravelly Hill Middle School, opened in October 2006. The need <br /> for an additional Middle School is not anticipated in the 10 year projection period. This is <br /> similar to last year's projections. <br /> High School <br /> The previous year(2018-19) projections for November 2019 for this level were underestimated <br /> by 49 students. The actual membership increased by 48 students. Over the previous ten years, <br /> growth has been varied. Growth rates during this period ranged from -3.93%to 4.58%. In 2012- <br /> 13 student membership increased by 32 while capacity decreased by 119 at Orange County High <br /> School as a result of a N.C. Department of Public Instruction(DPI) study. Similar to last year's <br /> projections, the need for additional capacity at Cedar Ridge High School is not anticipated in the <br /> 10 year projection period. However, to address public safety concerns with the current high <br /> school capacity exceeding the 100%threshold, Orange County Schools is in preliminary <br /> planning stages to expand Cedar Ridge High School from initial capacity of 1,000 students <br /> to1,500 students for the 2021-22 school year. <br /> 32 <br />