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9 <br /> 1 Craig Benedict said it does not account for the enrollment within the charter schools, but <br /> 2 only the traditional public schools. <br /> 3 Commissioner Dorosin said children are leaving to go to charter schools, and the actual <br /> 4 enrollment in the school system is impacted, and asked if this is accounted for. <br /> 5 Craig Benedict said yes, and the projections of development in the area would probably <br /> 6 show under other circumstances, without charter schools, a higher enrollment. He said both <br /> 7 school districts show less than would appear under normal circumstances; therefore, the <br /> 8 projections of growth are more muted moving into future years. <br /> 9 Commissioner Dorosin said that answer does not account for expansion of charter <br /> 10 schools (from K-8 to K-12), which would have an impact that is not accounted for looking <br /> 11 backwards. <br /> 12 Craig Benedict said that is correct. He said that shows up in those cohort projections. <br /> 13 Craig Benedict said staff acknowledges charter school and pre-K enrollment in the <br /> 14 annual SAPFO report, but this is a sidebar to the model and the MOU as written. <br /> 15 Commissioner Marcoplos said after middle schools, there is an influx of charter schools <br /> 16 students into the high schools. <br /> 17 Craig Benedict said that does show up, and staff can plot out the entire high school <br /> 18 enrollment and see how it has changyed over the years. He said middle schools show higher <br /> 19 graduation rates, between 8I" and 9t grades, which reflect these types of influxes. <br /> 20 Craig Benedict resumed the PowerPoint presentation: <br /> 21 <br /> 22 Student Capacity and Projections (chart) <br /> 23 <br /> 24 Impacts from Class Size Changes: Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools (graphic) <br /> 25 <br /> 26 Commissioner McKee asked if the 534-seat loss includes the impact of Pre-K <br /> 27 Craig Benedict said it does not. He said there was enough capacity in CHCCS to <br /> 28 accommodate class size changes over the allotted time, and to absorb the loss of the 534 <br /> 29 seats. He said it does bring the need for a new school much closer, which had previously been <br /> 30 10+ years out. <br /> 31 Commissioner Dorosin asked if these numbers assume that all other class sizes will <br /> 32 remain constant, as opposed to increasing 4t" grade, etc. <br /> 33 Craig Benedict said yes. <br /> 34 Commissioner Price asked if the 534-seat number was determined in some particular <br /> 35 way. <br /> 36 Craig Benedict said staff went school-by-school, working with school board staff, and did <br /> 37 the numbers for K through 3Id grade, 4t" grade and 5t" grade. He said this information is in the <br /> 38 Commissioners' packets. He said there are 165 classrooms in K-3, and the amount of capacity <br /> 39 will go down as the class size restrictions are fully implemented. <br /> 40 <br /> 41 Impacts from Class Size Changes: Orange County Schools (graphic) <br /> 42 <br /> 43 Commissioner Dorosin asked if, to date, the County has ever had to restrict <br /> 44 development due to SAPFP predictions. <br /> 45 Craig Benedict said no, this has never occurred. He said staff sometimes sees that it <br /> 46 may occur in a few years, and a developer can load the development over a period of time. He <br /> 47 said staff refines the model each year, and it has never been a problem, to date. <br /> 48 <br /> 49 Options to Implement Class Size Ratios <br /> 50 A. Options which have been eliminated by SJAC: <br />