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student projection vs. capacity. The same kind of projection line has now been graphed for <br />the elementary; middle, and high school levels for both school systems. <br />• Projections based on the 10-year historical numbers for final average daily membership <br />(ADM), as reported by both school systems to the State Department of Public Instruction. <br />The April 30 graphs reflected projections based on.3-year and 5-year historical averages of <br />final ADM. <br />• The resulting student projection vs. capacity graphs if the number of students and building <br />capacities for both systems are combined. <br />The resulting graphs have a great deal of data, but staff will be prepared to respond to BOCC <br />questions about what each line on each, chart means, depending on the amount of time the <br />Board has available to review and discuss the updated charts. <br />The Board discussed, but did not make a final determination regarding, whether and how any of <br />the additional student population projection information should be shared with the Capital <br />Needs Advisory Task Farce,. which is expected to complete its work shortly and convey its <br />recommendations to the BOCC by the end of May. The Board may wish to provide additional <br />direction on this point following review of the updated graphs. <br />FINANCIAL IMPACT: There is no financial impact directly associated with the review and <br />discussion of this report. However, there are.very substantial fiscal impacts associated with the <br />anticipated growth in new students and the school facilities that will be required to house them. <br />The Board will be making decisions in the coming months about the best combination of <br />financing approaches among pay-as-you-go, general obligation bonds, and other debt financing <br />RECOMMENDATION(S): The Manager recommends that the Board review the updated <br />graphs and provide appropriate direction to staff. <br />