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12 <br /> C. Similar to last year, projections are not showing a need to expand Carrboro High <br /> School from the initial capacity of 800 students to the ultimate capacity of 1,200 <br /> students in the 10-year projection period. <br /> ORANGE COUNTYSCHOOL DISTRICT <br /> Elementary School Level <br /> A. Does not currently exceed 105%LOS standard(current LOS is 95.4%). <br /> B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to increase and remain positive over <br /> the next 10 years (average —0.91% compared to 0.11% over the past 10 years). <br /> C. Similar to last year, projections are not showing a need for an additional Elementary <br /> School in the 10-year projection period. <br /> Middle School Level <br /> A. Does not currently exceed 107% LOS standard(current LOS is 82.1%). <br /> B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to decrease, but remain positive over <br /> the next 10 years (average—0.28% compared to 0.57% over the past 10 years). <br /> C. Similar to last year, projections are not showing a need for an additional Middle School <br /> in the 10-year projection period. <br /> High School Level <br /> A. Does not currently exceed 110%LOS standard (current LOS is 96.3%). <br /> B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to decrease, but remain positive over <br /> the next 10 years (average—0.21% compared to 1.08% over the past 10 years). <br /> C. Similar to last year, projections are not showing a need to expand Cedar Ridge High <br /> School from the initial capacity of 1,000 students to 1,500 students in the 10-year <br /> projection period. <br /> ADDITIONAL INFORMATION <br /> The Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance (SAPFO) student projections illustrate when <br /> the adopted level of service capacities are forecasted to be met and/or exceeded in anticipation of <br /> CIP planning and the construction of a new school. Both school districts continue planning <br /> efforts to renovate and expand existing facilities to address school capacity needs in a more <br /> feasible way. Additional capacity resulting from school renovations and expansions will be <br /> added to the projection models in stages, once funding is approved, versus the addition of greater <br /> capacity when a new school is constructed and completed. The renovation and expansion to <br /> existing facilities may delay construction of new schools further into the future. This process will <br /> pose some challenges to SAPFO compared to the existing process which indicates in advance <br /> when a completely new school is needed. Decisions on the timing of reconstruction(i.e. capacity <br /> additions) funding would be directly linked to the SAPFO model at the appropriate time. <br /> SAPFO student projections for this year are not showing a need for new school construction or <br /> expansion in the 10-year projection period for both school districts due to slowing student <br /> growth rates. However, planned residential development in the near future may increase student <br /> membership and accelerate school construction and expansion needs into the 10-year projection <br /> period. Although capacity and construction needs are not identified this year,both school <br /> districts face a large backlog of school capital maintenance and renovation projects that need to <br /> iii <br />