|
c"im by orwoo county 9u*wt Once
<br /> 03/O M
<br /> CHCCS Student Projections (1 ) (4)
<br /> Elementary
<br /> School Year 2000-01 2001 -02 2002-03 200344 2004-05 2005-06 i4'999
<br /> 2007-09 2006-06 20M-90 2010.11 2011.12 201243 2015.14 201416 2015.16
<br /> Actual 4,444 4 ,474 4 ,551 4,692 4 fi95 4 ,878
<br /> Tdchler (2i 5 , 146 5 279 6 413 5 5" 6 679 5 813 5 946 6 090 fi 213
<br /> OC Planning 5 115 5 205 5 287 5 380 5 460 6 540 5 6" 5 749 5 853
<br /> 10 Year Growth 5 275 5 425 5 524 5,688 5 745 5 802 5 8W 5 919 5 B78
<br /> 5 Year Growtn 5 172 5 280 5 342 5 476 5 531 5 586 5 642 5 698 5 755
<br /> 3 Year Growth 5, 178 5 ,292 5,361 5 499 6,654 5.610 5 ,666 5.722 5.7110
<br /> kiperatio 40il9177 SM BASS S 619 6 U4 50670 S 752 S 934 6914
<br /> Annual Change • Increaea Decrease In Actual i Pro ectad Membership) 30 77 141 3 194 133 1 " lit 99 132 76 76 at 82 92
<br /> CaLmckly - 100% Level of Senrke LOS 4 302 4 302 4.302 4je 4 921 4 921 4 921 4 921 5 59 5 259 5 259 3 259 6 256 51259 Sx2511 S 216
<br /> Number ofS Ached and Projected, Over Under 100% LOS 142 172 246 229 2:. .>) ( 1 99 256 37 129 25e 915 411 N3 575 95!
<br /> Capacity • 109% Level of Service LOS 4 517 4 617 4,517 5197 5167 5 167 5 167 5 167 5,522 51522 6 522 5 522 5 922 5 522 3 322 5 522
<br /> Number of Students Actual and Pro d Over Under tOSX Los (sir ) 475) _ - - 10 , �71 ! ! 72 1M 230 312 354
<br /> Actual - % Level of Service 103 3% 104-0% 105.8% 95.3% 95 4% 99. 1 % - _
<br /> Aver e - % Level of Service _ 101 .8X 105.2°/ 100.76h 1 .4% 104.94'° 106.4°� 107 .8% 109.4% 110.9% 112.5%
<br /> AIV" Stadwd Growth Rob 3) 1 .72% itY% 3.62% L70% 1 2,49% 1.79% 1 .3TA 1 .M% 1471E 1A1%
<br /> Elmnebry 09 ope-e h W 2003 weh addennal 619leans For No ben 150 2➢05 Certdred U
<br /> Wary 6kdatora, 0406 proles Etrmenrry e10 opening for
<br /> school year 200a-09. In acco dancs with B= adopted Schod Corutrumon Standards, elementary
<br /> school capanry totals 600 sa°darrta.
<br /> iasperdet Nebo: par 2005 aareewnt of Sraool Coltaberad" Wort Groep, Grades K-3
<br /> close sin replaced &am 1:23 to 3:21 with opening of Vellum" $10 (to allow for prior
<br /> CHCCS Student Projections 11 ) lyialaWe Adel ra: noloced ctaes erne)
<br /> Middle
<br /> School Year 1 2000-01 1 2001 -02 1 2002-03 1 2003-04 1 2004-05Jr21653
<br /> 2007-09 2006-09 2009=10 2010.11 2011A2 2012.13 2093-14 201415 201576
<br /> Actual 2.326 2 540 2,608 2 ,612 2,560Tuchier (2) 2713 2,783 2 853 2924 2994 3064 3 135 3205 3 .275
<br /> OC Plato 2730 2802 2872 2 .929 2 999 3069 3 , 114 3 158 3,202
<br /> 10YearGrovrth 2660 2747 2872 2 , 983 3122 3204 3356 3390 3 ,424
<br /> 5 Vear Growth 2645 2 720 2,817 2900 2993 3031 3152 3183 3215
<br /> 3 Year Growth 2 633 2694 2784 2869 2,966 3 014 3136 3 167 3199
<br /> Awra 2,676 2 749 2 640 2 921 3 015 3 076 3179 39221 3v263
<br /> Annuol Chan as Increase Decrease in Actwl B Projected Membership) 214 N 4 12. 61 21 73_ 90 6 94_ 62 102 42 42
<br /> Capacity - 100% Lewl of Service [ 2 106 94 2 0 940 2 U0 2111140_ - 2 940 NO 2 640 2 MO 2 640 2 640 2 NO 2 "0 2 B"
<br /> Number of Studearday Actual and Projected, Over Under 100% LOS 218 (300) (232) (228) (280 268 18 164 m (G 91 17S 236 339 341 423
<br /> 107% Laval of service 2,256 ] 039 ! M ] 039 34039 3 030 3 039 soon 3 M 3 039 ] oL = 3 039 3 039 ] 039 3 039
<br /> Number at Students, Actual and Projected, Over Under 107% LOS 70 - _ ) 431 ) (327) di75 ', "71 {.' ;S (:. {� 24i 39 140 1@ 224
<br /> Actual - % Level of Service 110.3% 89.4% 91 .8% 92.0% 90. 1 % 90.6%
<br /> Ave e - % Level of Service 3.4% 1 94.2% 1 96.8X 100.0% 102.9% 106.2% 108.3% 111 .9% 113 .4% 114 .9%
<br /> � 939% 92. 91E 0.191E - d - l.1 . . . .. - . . - . _ - - -. - 4 . 1 IJI
<br /> CHCCS Student Projections [1 )
<br /> High
<br /> School Year 2000-01 1 2001 -02 1 2002-03 1 2003-04 2004-05 1 200S-06 200947 2007-05 2006-06 2009.lO 201041 2011 .12 2012.13 2013•'14 2014=15 2095.16
<br /> Actual 2,815 2 963 3 , 162 3330 3.422 3,514
<br /> Tischler '31 3,610 3 706 3 B02 3 898 3 ,994 4 091 4 187 4 283 4 ,379 4 ,475
<br /> OC Planning3 600 3 ,675 3 ,768 3 857 3 946 4 036 4,126 4 ,217 4 308 4 ,400
<br /> 10 Year Growth 3 506 3 573 3 608 3 616 3 665 3 768 3 939 4 ,011 4 254 4 411
<br /> 5 Year Growth 3 536 3 619 3 656 3 676 3 ,708 3 788 3 941 3 969 4 155 4.264
<br /> 3 Year Growth 3 513 3,568 3 601 3 615 3 632 3,706 3 843 3 ,870 4 057 41170
<br /> Average 3 553 3 628 1687 ] 732 3 789 1 1978 4 007 4,070 4r231 4 344
<br /> Annual Change - Increase Decrease In Actual i1 Prollacted Membsrshl 149 1 " 1 " 92 92 39 75 59 45 57 69 129 63 161 113
<br /> Capacity - 100% Level of Service 31035 3035 3 0]5 11035 ] 035 31035 ] 015 ] ig35 ] itf6 J 9J5 3935 ! 93b ] 9]615 ] 9]5 9 9J5 3 6
<br /> Number of Stuclennta Actual and Projected Over Under 100% LOs 220 127 295 397 479 519 D 48 103 46 43 172 235 396 509
<br /> 110% Level of Service 3r= 3JM ] 339 34339 3 339 9 339 J 339 41219 4 4 9 4 19 4 219 4 219 4 191 41219 42219
<br /> lhlumbsrofStudonts Actual and Proischadp Over Under 110% LOS 324 378) (ITn L I 63 176 215 500 532 G 430 12 1 126
<br /> Actual - % Level of Service 1 92.8% 97.6% 1042% 109.7% 1126% 1 115 .E
<br /> Aver e - % Level of Service 117. 1 % 94,9% 96.1% 97.3 98.8% 1 161 .1 % 1 104.5% 1D& 1 % I 110,3% 1 113 .3%
<br /> : Ylr�ei 6rwr Rags p) S ]1% Z 2 w u 12J% 1 .52% Uu%i &34% 1 smi 3 "llil 2AK n
<br /> high school e3 opens in NY 20117 we a00 addoorW .-.-
<br /> indicates first year that district surpasses Schools APFO recommended Level of Service ON
<br /> 1r ' It is important to note that this reflects the November 15, 2005 date of membership as outlined in by the Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance. it does rot include CHCCS students attending the Hospital School.
<br /> The Tuctuler Model provides for the "Linear Method' of projections for lath CHCCS and OCS. Original projections used in prior years projection modes included the -Linear Extrapolation Method' for CHCCS .
<br /> Annual growth rate calculated using actual membership for years 2000-01 through 2005-06 and average membership for years 2006.07 through 2015-16.
<br /> 1+1 Class sizes for grades K-3 = 1 :23 for school years 2006.07 and 2007-08. In accordance with 2005 School Collaboration Work Group direction, with planned opening of CHCCS Elementary 910 in school year 2008-09, K-3 class sees for school years 200"9 through 2015. 16 reflect 1 :21 as directed by past State legislative action. This z
<br /> results in CHCCS elementary capacity reduction (district wide) of 275 seats (decreasing from 5,797 [105% LOS Q 123 class size] to 51522 [105% LOS ® 1 :21 class size)). Class see reduction results in need for CHCCS Elementary #11 to come online in school year 2011 - 12 ( 1 :21 ratio) compared to 2014-15 ( 1 :23 ratio). 1--1
<br /> 1^-1
<br /> l 1
<br /> N
<br />
|